Bonnyton Thistle vs Clachnacuddin Prediction & Betting Tips 24/10/2026

Bonnyton Thistle vs Clachnacuddin preview

In the FA Cup fixture between Bonnyton Thistle and Clachnacuddin, the 1X2 probabilities show Bonnyton Thistle at 41%, Clachnacuddin at 30%, and a draw at 28%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Bonnyton Thistle, with an expected goals tally of 1.45 for Bonnyton and 1.21 for Clachnacuddin.

Both teams to score stands at 55%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 50%. This suggests a competitive match, but the outcome could shift if Clachnacuddin improves their finishing, as they have shown recent form with three wins in their last six matches. Bonnyton Thistle's inconsistency, with two wins and two losses recently, may also impact their performance.

Bonnyton Thistle vs Clachnacuddin: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Bonnyton Thistle	Draw	Clachnacuddin
Model	41%	28%	30%
Market	—	—	—
Published	41%	28%	30%
Edge	—	—	—

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Bonnyton Thistle and Clachnacuddin expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.45Bonnyton Thistle

1.21Clachnacuddin

Total expected goals: 2.66
Attack rating (Bonnyton Thistle / Clachnacuddin): 0.83 / 0.99
Defence rating (Bonnyton Thistle / Clachnacuddin): 0.81 / 0.93

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Bonnyton Thistle vs Clachnacuddin score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 8.2% 7.2% 5.1% 2.1% 0.8% 1 8.9% 13.5% 7.4% 3.0% 1.2% 2 7.4% 8.9% 5.4% 2.2% 0.8% 3 3.6% 4.3% 2.6% 1.0% 0.4% 4+ 1.8% 2.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%

Rows: Bonnyton Thistle goals. Columns: Clachnacuddin goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Bonnyton Thistle vs Clachnacuddin goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 92%

Over 1.5 76%

Over 2.5 50%

Over 3.5 28%

Both teams to score: 55%
No goals (0–0): 8%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Bonnyton Thistle vs Clachnacuddin

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Bonnyton Thistle	41%	2.41
	Draw	28%	3.53
	Clachnacuddin	30%	3.31
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	50%	2.02
	Under 2.5	50%	1.98
Both teams to score	Yes	55%	1.82
	No	45%	2.22
Double chance	1X (Bonnyton Thistle or draw)	70%	1.43
	12 (either side)	72%	1.39
	X2 (draw or Clachnacuddin)	59%	1.71
Handicap -1	Bonnyton Thistle win by 2+	21%	4.85
	Push (exactly one goal)	21%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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