Dunipace vs Largs Thistle preview
Dunipace faces Largs Thistle with a 43% chance of winning compared to Largs Thistle's 33%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.84 for Dunipace and 1.61 for Largs Thistle. There is a strong likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams to score at 68%.
However, the recent form shows Dunipace has a mixed record with one win and two losses, while Largs Thistle comes in with a win. This could impact the outcome, making the match less predictable despite the statistical edge for Dunipace. The confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the forecast.
Dunipace vs Largs Thistle: model vs market
| Source | Dunipace | Draw | Largs Thistle |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43% | 24% | 33% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 43% | 24% | 33% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Dunipace and Largs Thistle expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.44
- Attack rating (Dunipace / Largs Thistle)
- 1.17 / 0.93
- Defence rating (Dunipace / Largs Thistle)
- 1.14 / 0.83
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Dunipace vs Largs Thistle score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Dunipace goals. Columns: Largs Thistle goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Dunipace vs Largs Thistle goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 68%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Dunipace vs Largs Thistle
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dunipace | 43% | 2.34 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.13 | |
| Largs Thistle | 33% | 3.02 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 33% | 3.01 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68% | 1.47 |
| No | 32% | 3.14 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Dunipace or draw) | 67% | 1.49 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Largs Thistle) | 57% | 1.74 | |
| Handicap -1 | Dunipace win by 2+ | 24% | 4.24 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Dunipace and Largs Thistle recent form
Dunipace
1W 0D 2L
Last 3 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Dunipace at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 5.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 1
Largs Thistle away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 1
League matches this season before kick-off: Dunipace at home only, Largs Thistle away only.
Other Round of 128 fixtures
- Brechin vs Strathspey Thistle 2026-10-24
- Edinburgh City v Kelty Hearts — match page 2026-10-24
- Bo'ness United vs Forfar Athletic — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Dumbarton vs Keith 2026-10-24
- Hill Of Beath Hawthorn v Musselburgh Athletic — match page 2026-10-24
- Lochee United vs Spartans — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Threave Rovers vs Pollok 2026-10-24
- Brora Rangers v Cowdenbeath — match page 2026-10-24