Updated

Scotland FA Cup · Round of 128

Huntly vs Annan Athletic

Alin prediction Huntly to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 2 – 1

8% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
HuntlyDrawAnnan Athletic
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.40 vs 1.62.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Huntly vs Annan Athletic preview

In the FA Cup fixture between Huntly and Annan Athletic, the 1X2 probabilities show Huntly at 54%, while Annan Athletic sits at 25%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which has an 8% probability. Huntly's expected goals are 2.40, compared to Annan Athletic's 1.62, indicating a strong offensive performance from Huntly.

However, the confidence grade is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the predictions. Both teams to score has a 74% probability, and Over 2.5 goals is at 76%. This means that while Huntly is favored, factors like Annan Athletic's recent form of L-W-W-L could impact the outcome significantly.

Huntly vs Annan Athletic: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceHuntlyDrawAnnan Athletic
Model54%21%25%
Market———
Published54%21%25%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.40 vs 1.62.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Huntly and Annan Athletic expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.40Huntly
1.62Annan Athletic
Total expected goals
4.02
Attack rating (Huntly / Annan Athletic)
1.09 / 1.02
Defence rating (Huntly / Annan Athletic)
1.06 / 1.17

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Huntly vs Annan Athletic score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 2.5% 2.2% 2.4% 1.3% 0.7% 1 3.6% 7.7% 5.7% 3.1% 1.8% 2 5.2% 8.4% 6.8% 3.7% 2.1% 3 4.1% 6.7% 5.4% 2.9% 1.7% 4+ 4.3% 7.1% 5.7% 3.1% 1.8%

Rows: Huntly goals. Columns: Annan Athletic goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Huntly vs Annan Athletic goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 97%
Over 1.5 92%
Over 2.5 76%
Over 3.5 57%
Both teams to score
74%
No goals (0–0)
3%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Huntly vs Annan Athletic

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Huntly54%1.84
Draw21%4.82
Annan Athletic25%4.00
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.576%1.31
Under 2.524%4.24
Both teams to scoreYes74%1.36
No26%3.79
Double chance1X (Huntly or draw)75%1.33
12 (either side)79%1.26
X2 (draw or Annan Athletic)46%2.18
Handicap -1Huntly win by 2+35%2.89
Push (exactly one goal)20%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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Huntly and Annan Athletic recent form

Huntly 1W 1D 2L
Annan Athletic 2W 0D 2L

Last 4 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Other Round of 128 fixtures

Prediction snapshot Huntly to win Predicted score 2 – 1 C Bet on Huntly