Penicuik Athletic vs Clyde Prediction & Betting Tips 23/10/2026

Penicuik Athletic vs Clyde preview

In the FA Cup match between Penicuik Athletic and Clyde, the 1X2 probabilities show Penicuik Athletic at 48%, Clyde at 29%, and a draw at 23%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which has a 9% chance according to our model.

Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals each have a 70% probability. Penicuik Athletic has expected goals of 2.03, while Clyde sits at 1.56. However, the confidence grade is C, indicating that unexpected outcomes could arise, potentially affecting the predicted scoreline.

Penicuik Athletic vs Clyde: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Penicuik Athletic	Draw	Clyde
Model	48%	23%	29%
Market	—	—	—
Published	48%	23%	29%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.03 vs 1.56.
Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 3 vs 0 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Penicuik Athletic and Clyde expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.03Penicuik Athletic

1.56Clyde

Total expected goals: 3.59
Attack rating (Penicuik Athletic / Clyde): 1.02 / 0.97
Defence rating (Penicuik Athletic / Clyde): 1.07 / 1.06

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Penicuik Athletic vs Clyde score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 3.6% 3.4% 3.4% 1.8% 1.0% 1 4.7% 9.6% 6.8% 3.6% 2.0% 2 5.7% 8.9% 6.9% 3.6% 2.0% 3 3.8% 6.0% 4.7% 2.4% 1.4% 4+ 3.1% 4.8% 3.8% 2.0% 1.1%

Rows: Penicuik Athletic goals. Columns: Clyde goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Penicuik Athletic vs Clyde goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 96%

Over 1.5 88%

Over 2.5 70%

Over 3.5 48%

Both teams to score: 70%
No goals (0–0): 4%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Penicuik Athletic vs Clyde

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Penicuik Athletic	48%	2.10
	Draw	23%	4.32
	Clyde	29%	3.43
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	70%	1.44
	Under 2.5	30%	3.29
Both teams to score	Yes	70%	1.44
	No	30%	3.28
Double chance	1X (Penicuik Athletic or draw)	71%	1.41
	12 (either side)	77%	1.30
	X2 (draw or Clyde)	52%	1.91
Handicap -1	Penicuik Athletic win by 2+	28%	3.57
	Push (exactly one goal)	20%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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