Renfrew vs Stirling Albion preview
In the Scotland FA Cup fixture, Renfrew has a 46% chance to win, while Stirling Albion stands at 35%. The most likely scoreline is 3-2, which occurs with a 6% probability. With an expected goals tally of 2.65 for Renfrew and 2.34 for Stirling Albion, the match is set up for a high-scoring encounter.
The model indicates an 87% likelihood of Over 2.5 goals and an 84% chance for both teams to score. However, the confidence grade is C, suggesting that unexpected outcomes could arise, potentially affecting the final score and the predictions.
Renfrew vs Stirling Albion: model vs market
| Source | Renfrew | Draw | Stirling Albion |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46% | 19% | 35% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 46% | 19% | 35% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.65 vs 2.34.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Renfrew and Stirling Albion expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.99
- Attack rating (Renfrew / Stirling Albion)
- 1.13 / 1.50
- Defence rating (Renfrew / Stirling Albion)
- 1.03 / 1.25
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Renfrew vs Stirling Albion score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Renfrew goals. Columns: Stirling Albion goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Renfrew vs Stirling Albion goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 84%
- No goals (0–0)
- 1%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Renfrew vs Stirling Albion
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Renfrew | 46% | 2.17 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.25 | |
| Stirling Albion | 35% | 2.86 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 87% | 1.14 |
| Under 2.5 | 13% | 7.97 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 84% | 1.18 |
| No | 16% | 6.41 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Renfrew or draw) | 65% | 1.54 |
| 12 (either side) | 81% | 1.24 | |
| X2 (draw or Stirling Albion) | 54% | 1.85 | |
| Handicap -1 | Renfrew win by 2+ | 29% | 3.44 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Renfrew and Stirling Albion recent form
Stirling Albion
2W 1D 1L
Last 1 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Renfrew at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 3.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 1
League matches this season before kick-off: Renfrew at home only, Stirling Albion away only.
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