Stenhousemuir vs East Fife preview
In the FA Cup match between Stenhousemuir and East Fife, the 1X2 probabilities show Stenhousemuir at 41%, draw at 31%, and East Fife at 29%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 12% chance according to our model.
Stenhousemuir has struggled recently, with a form of L-L-L-L-D-L, while East Fife has lost their last two matches. The expected goals are 1.27 for Stenhousemuir and 1.02 for East Fife. There is a 40% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance for both teams to score, which could change the outcome if either team finds their scoring touch.
Stenhousemuir vs East Fife: model vs market
| Source | Stenhousemuir | Draw | East Fife |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41% | 31% | 29% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 41% | 31% | 29% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Stenhousemuir and East Fife expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.29
- Attack rating (Stenhousemuir / East Fife)
- 0.69 / 0.71
- Defence rating (Stenhousemuir / East Fife)
- 0.93 / 0.97
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Stenhousemuir vs East Fife score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Stenhousemuir goals. Columns: East Fife goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Stenhousemuir vs East Fife goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 47%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Stenhousemuir vs East Fife
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stenhousemuir | 41% | 2.46 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.24 | |
| East Fife | 29% | 3.51 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40% | 2.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 60% | 1.67 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47% | 2.12 |
| No | 53% | 1.89 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Stenhousemuir or draw) | 71% | 1.40 |
| 12 (either side) | 69% | 1.45 | |
| X2 (draw or East Fife) | 59% | 1.69 | |
| Handicap -1 | Stenhousemuir win by 2+ | 19% | 5.32 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Stenhousemuir and East Fife recent form
Stenhousemuir
0W 1D 5L
East Fife
0W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Other Round of 64 fixtures
- Ross County v Brora Rangers — match page 2026-11-28
- Inverness CT vs Cove Rangers — team news & stats 2026-11-28
- Queen of the South vs Dunfermline 2026-11-28
- Montrose v Hamilton Academical — match page 2026-11-28
- Annan Athletic vs Morton — team news & stats 2026-11-28
- Elgin City vs Partick 2026-11-28
- Peterhead v Edinburgh City — match page 2026-11-28
- Queen's Park vs Spartans — team news & stats 2026-11-28
Before and after this match
- Stenhousemuir, previous: Arbroath vs Stenhousemuir: odds and pick