Stirling University vs Elgin City preview
In the Scotland FA Cup fixture between Stirling University and Elgin City, the 1X2 probabilities show Stirling University at 48%, while Elgin City sits at 29%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance. Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals both have a 69% probability, indicating a strong expectation for a high-scoring match.
Stirling University has an expected goals figure of 2.02, compared to Elgin City's 1.54. However, the recent form shows Stirling University with a mixed record of W-L-W-L, while Elgin City has won 4 of their last 6 matches. This variance in form could impact the outcome, making the predictions less certain.
Stirling University vs Elgin City: model vs market
| Source | Stirling University | Draw | Elgin City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48% | 23% | 29% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 48% | 23% | 29% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.02 vs 1.54.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Stirling University and Elgin City expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.56
- Attack rating (Stirling University / Elgin City)
- 1.00 / 1.19
- Defence rating (Stirling University / Elgin City)
- 0.86 / 1.07
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Stirling University vs Elgin City score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Stirling University goals. Columns: Elgin City goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Stirling University vs Elgin City goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 69%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Stirling University vs Elgin City
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stirling University | 48% | 2.08 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.30 | |
| Elgin City | 29% | 3.48 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69% | 1.45 |
| Under 2.5 | 31% | 3.23 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69% | 1.45 |
| No | 31% | 3.23 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Stirling University or draw) | 71% | 1.40 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or Elgin City) | 52% | 1.92 | |
| Handicap -1 | Stirling University win by 2+ | 28% | 3.55 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Stirling University and Elgin City recent form
Stirling University
2W 0D 2L
Elgin City
4W 0D 2L
Last 4 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
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