Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers preview
In the match between Heart Of Midlothian and Rangers, the 1X2 probabilities show Rangers at 46% and Heart Of Midlothian at 28%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which occurs 10% of the time in our model. Rangers have been in strong form, winning their last 6 matches, while Heart Of Midlothian has a mixed record with 2 wins in their last 5 games.
Both teams to score stands at 59%, and there is a 57% chance of Over 2.5 goals. Heart Of Midlothian's expected goals are 1.18, while Rangers' are higher at 1.78. If Heart Of Midlothian can improve their recent form or if Rangers underperform, these predictions could change.
Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers: model vs market
| Source | Heart Of Midlothian | Draw | Rangers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24% | 25% | 50% |
| Market | 30% | 26% | 45% |
| Published | 28% | 26% | 46% |
| Edge | -1% | 0% | +1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.78 vs 1.18.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.15, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -1.1% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Rangers, 18 snapshots since 2026-10-18.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heart Of Midlothian | 3.11 | 3.14 | +0.03 |
| Draw | 3.58 | 3.65 | +0.07 |
| Rangers | 2.10 | 2.10 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Heart Of Midlothian and Rangers expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.96
- Attack rating (Heart Of Midlothian / Rangers)
- 1.17 / 1.24
- Defence rating (Heart Of Midlothian / Rangers)
- 1.19 / 0.65
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Heart Of Midlothian goals. Columns: Rangers goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 59%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Heart Of Midlothian | 28% | 3.52 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.91 | |
| Rangers | 46% | 2.17 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57% | 1.76 |
| Under 2.5 | 43% | 2.32 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59% | 1.70 |
| No | 41% | 2.42 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Heart Of Midlothian or draw) | 54% | 1.85 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Rangers) | 72% | 1.40 | |
| Handicap -1 | Rangers win by 2+ | 28% | 3.52 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Heart Of Midlothian and Rangers recent form
Heart Of Midlothian
2W 2D 2L
Rangers
5W 1D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Heart Of Midlothian at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 3.25
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Rangers away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-0
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 0.80
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 7 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Heart Of Midlothian at home only, Rangers away only.
Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Heart Of Midlothian 3 · draws 2 · Rangers 5.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-04 | Heart Of Midlothian | 2-1 | Rangers | Scotland Premiership |
| 2026-02-15 | Rangers | 4-2 | Heart Of Midlothian | Scotland Premiership |
| 2025-12-21 | Heart Of Midlothian | 2-1 | Rangers | Scotland Premiership |
| 2025-09-13 | Rangers | 0-2 | Heart Of Midlothian | Scotland Premiership |
| 2025-02-16 | Heart Of Midlothian | 1-3 | Rangers | Premiership |
| 2024-11-10 | Rangers | 1-0 | Heart Of Midlothian | Premiership |
| 2024-08-03 | Heart Of Midlothian | 0-0 | Rangers | Premiership |
| 2024-05-18 | Heart Of Midlothian | 3-3 | Rangers | Premiership |
| 2024-04-21 | Rangers | 2-0 | Heart Of Midlothian | FA Cup |
| 2024-02-24 | Rangers | 5-0 | Heart Of Midlothian | Premiership |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Celtic v Dundee Utd — match page 2026-10-28
- ST Mirren vs Hibernian — team news & stats 2026-10-28
- Aberdeen vs Falkirk 2026-10-28
- Dundee v Kilmarnock — match page 2026-10-28
- ST Johnstone vs Motherwell 2026-10-28
Before and after this match
- Heart Of Midlothian, previous: Motherwell v Heart Of Midlothian analysis
- Heart Of Midlothian, next: Dundee Utd vs Heart Of Midlothian prediction
- Rangers, previous: Rangers vs ST Johnstone: odds and pick
- Rangers, next: Rangers vs Aberdeen: odds and pick