Celtic vs Dundee Utd preview
Celtic faces Dundee Utd with a 70% chance to win, while Dundee Utd has only a 12% chance. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with Celtic's expected goals of 2.14 compared to Dundee Utd's 1.11.
Celtic's recent form shows some inconsistency with 3 wins in their last 6 matches. Dundee Utd has been more stable, with 4 wins in their last 6. Although Celtic has a strong probability to win, their recent performance could lead to an unexpected result. Additionally, both teams to score sits at 60%, suggesting potential for goals from both sides.
Celtic vs Dundee Utd: model vs market
| Source | Celtic | Draw | Dundee Utd |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55% | 23% | 22% |
| Market | 74% | 16% | 10% |
| Published | 69% | 18% | 13% |
| Edge | -5% | +2% | +3% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.07 vs 1.24.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.29, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -10.6% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Celtic vs Dundee Utd odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Celtic, 18 snapshots since 2026-10-18.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic | 1.26 | 1.27 | +0.01 |
| Draw | 5.60 | 5.75 | +0.15 |
| Dundee Utd | 9.20 | 9.50 | +0.30 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Celtic and Dundee Utd expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.31
- Attack rating (Celtic / Dundee Utd)
- 1.41 / 1.01
- Defence rating (Celtic / Dundee Utd)
- 1.02 / 0.94
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Celtic vs Dundee Utd score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Celtic goals. Columns: Dundee Utd goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Celtic vs Dundee Utd goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 63%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Celtic vs Dundee Utd
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Celtic | 69% | 1.44 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.58 | |
| Dundee Utd | 13% | 7.82 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64% | 1.56 |
| Under 2.5 | 36% | 2.80 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63% | 1.58 |
| No | 37% | 2.71 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Celtic or draw) | 87% | 1.15 |
| 12 (either side) | 82% | 1.22 | |
| X2 (draw or Dundee Utd) | 31% | 3.25 | |
| Handicap -1 | Celtic win by 2+ | 34% | 2.95 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Celtic and Dundee Utd recent form
Celtic
3W 0D 3L
Dundee Utd
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Celtic at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-1
- Win rate
- 80%
- Goals for / match
- 2.60
- Goals against / match
- 0.60
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 9 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dundee Utd away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Celtic at home only, Dundee Utd away only.
Celtic vs Dundee Utd head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Celtic 7 · draws 1 · Dundee Utd 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Dundee Utd | 0-4 | Celtic | League Cup |
| 2026-03-22 | Dundee Utd | 2-0 | Celtic | Scotland Premiership |
| 2026-01-10 | Celtic | 4-0 | Dundee Utd | Scotland Premiership |
| 2025-12-17 | Dundee Utd | 2-1 | Celtic | Scotland Premiership |
| 2025-04-26 | Dundee Utd | 0-5 | Celtic | Premiership |
| 2025-02-15 | Celtic | 3-0 | Dundee Utd | Premiership |
| 2025-01-08 | Celtic | 2-0 | Dundee Utd | Premiership |
| 2024-12-22 | Dundee Utd | 0-0 | Celtic | Premiership |
| 2023-01-29 | Dundee Utd | 0-2 | Celtic | Premiership |
| 2022-11-05 | Celtic | 4-2 | Dundee Utd | Premiership |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- ST Mirren vs Hibernian — team news & stats 2026-10-28
- Aberdeen vs Falkirk 2026-10-28
- Dundee v Kilmarnock — match page 2026-10-28
- ST Johnstone vs Motherwell 2026-10-28
- Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers — team news & stats 2026-10-28
Before and after this match
- Celtic, previous: Hibernian vs Celtic prediction
- Celtic, next: Falkirk – Celtic, 2026-11-01
- Dundee Utd, previous: Dundee Utd vs Aberdeen prediction
- Dundee Utd, next: Dundee Utd vs Heart Of Midlothian prediction