Brinje-Grosuplje vs Bravo preview
Brinje-Grosuplje faces Bravo with a 31% chance of winning for the home side and a 42% chance for the visitors. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with Bravo expected to score 1.68 goals compared to Brinje-Grosuplje's 1.17.
Both teams to score stands at 57%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 54%. Recent form shows Brinje-Grosuplje struggling with L-L-W-L-L-W, while Bravo has a better record with D-L-W-W-D-W. A draw is also a possibility with a 27% chance, which could impact the expected outcome.
Brinje-Grosuplje vs Bravo: model vs market
| Source | Brinje-Grosuplje | Draw | Bravo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25% | 26% | 48% |
| Market | 34% | 27% | 39% |
| Published | 32% | 27% | 41% |
| Edge | -2% | 0% | +2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.68 vs 1.17.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Bravo below our published probability: +2.3 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.46, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +1.4% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Brinje-Grosuplje vs Bravo odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Bravo, 9 snapshots since 2026-10-23.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brinje-Grosuplje | 2.73 | 2.67 | -0.06 |
| Draw | 3.37 | 3.33 | -0.04 |
| Bravo | 2.30 | 2.33 | +0.03 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Brinje-Grosuplje and Bravo expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.85
- Attack rating (Brinje-Grosuplje / Bravo)
- 0.87 / 0.88
- Defence rating (Brinje-Grosuplje / Bravo)
- 1.40 / 0.85
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Brinje-Grosuplje vs Bravo score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Brinje-Grosuplje goals. Columns: Bravo goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Brinje-Grosuplje vs Bravo goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 57%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Brinje-Grosuplje vs Bravo
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Brinje-Grosuplje | 32% | 3.14 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.71 | |
| Bravo | 41% | 2.43 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54% | 1.84 |
| Under 2.5 | 46% | 2.19 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57% | 1.75 |
| No | 43% | 2.34 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Brinje-Grosuplje or draw) | 59% | 1.70 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or Bravo) | 68% | 1.47 | |
| Handicap -1 | Bravo win by 2+ | 26% | 3.79 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Brinje-Grosuplje and Bravo recent form
Brinje-Grosuplje
2W 0D 4L
Bravo
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Brinje-Grosuplje at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-3
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
Bravo away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 0.83
- Goals against / match
- 0.83
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 6
- They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 12 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Brinje-Grosuplje at home only, Bravo away only.
Brinje-Grosuplje vs Bravo head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Brinje-Grosuplje 0 · draws 1 · Bravo 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Bravo | 1-1 | Brinje-Grosuplje | 1. SNL |
| 2020-05-23 | Bravo | 6-0 | Brinje-Grosuplje | Friendlies Clubs |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Radomlje vs Mura — team news & stats 2026-10-27
- Koper vs Maribor 2026-10-27
- Nafta v Aluminij — match page 2026-10-28
- Olimpija Ljubljana vs Celje — team news & stats 2026-10-28
Before and after this match
- Brinje-Grosuplje, previous: Koper vs Brinje-Grosuplje prediction
- Brinje-Grosuplje, next: Mura vs Brinje-Grosuplje: odds and pick
- Bravo, previous: Bravo vs Radomlje: odds and pick
- Bravo, next: Bravo – Koper, 2026-11-02