Radomlje vs Mura preview
In the fixture between Radomlje and Mura, the 1X2 probabilities show Radomlje at 36% and Mura at 37%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, with a 7% chance. The expected goals are 1.86 for Radomlje and 1.47 for Mura, indicating a competitive match.
Both teams have struggled in recent form, with Radomlje recording D-D-L-L-L-D and Mura at D-D-D-L-D-L. The model suggests a high likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams to score at 66%. However, if either team improves their form or if the match is particularly defensive, these outcomes could change.
Radomlje vs Mura: model vs market
| Source | Radomlje | Draw | Mura |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46% | 24% | 30% |
| Market | 32% | 27% | 41% |
| Published | 35% | 26% | 38% |
| Edge | +4% | -1% | -3% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.25, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -13.9% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Radomlje vs Mura odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Mura, 10 snapshots since 2026-10-22.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Radomlje | 2.75 | 2.88 | +0.13 |
| Draw | 3.32 | 3.37 | +0.05 |
| Mura | 2.25 | 2.22 | -0.04 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Radomlje and Mura expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.32
- Attack rating (Radomlje / Mura)
- 0.97 / 0.81
- Defence rating (Radomlje / Mura)
- 1.33 / 1.20
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Radomlje vs Mura score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Radomlje goals. Columns: Mura goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Radomlje vs Mura goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 66%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Radomlje vs Mura
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Radomlje | 35% | 2.83 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.78 | |
| Mura | 38% | 2.61 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65% | 1.55 |
| Under 2.5 | 35% | 2.82 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66% | 1.52 |
| No | 34% | 2.93 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Radomlje or draw) | 62% | 1.62 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or Mura) | 65% | 1.55 | |
| Handicap -1 | Mura win by 2+ | 14% | 7.15 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Radomlje and Mura recent form
Radomlje
0W 3D 3L
Mura
0W 4D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Radomlje at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.83
- Goals against / match
- 2.17
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 1 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Mura away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-2
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 2.33
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 2 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 12 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Radomlje at home only, Mura away only.
Radomlje vs Mura head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Radomlje 4 · draws 1 · Mura 5.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | Mura | 1-3 | Radomlje | 1. SNL |
| 2026-05-22 | Radomlje | 3-2 | Mura | 1. SNL |
| 2026-03-21 | Mura | 2-0 | Radomlje | 1. SNL |
| 2025-12-06 | Radomlje | 3-1 | Mura | 1. SNL |
| 2025-09-21 | Mura | 0-0 | Radomlje | 1. SNL |
| 2025-05-03 | Radomlje | 2-0 | Mura | 1. SNL |
| 2025-03-08 | Mura | 2-0 | Radomlje | 1. SNL |
| 2024-11-10 | Radomlje | 2-4 | Mura | 1. SNL |
| 2024-08-24 | Mura | 1-0 | Radomlje | 1. SNL |
| 2024-04-20 | Radomlje | 1-2 | Mura | 1. SNL |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Koper vs Maribor 2026-10-27
- Nafta v Aluminij — match page 2026-10-28
- Olimpija Ljubljana vs Celje — team news & stats 2026-10-28
- Brinje-Grosuplje vs Bravo 2026-10-29
Before and after this match
- Radomlje, previous: Bravo vs Radomlje: odds and pick
- Radomlje, next: Aluminij vs Radomlje prediction
- Mura, previous: Mura – Nafta, 2026-10-17
- Mura, next: Mura vs Brinje-Grosuplje: odds and pick