Prat vs Athletic Club Prediction & Betting Tips 29/10/2026

Prat vs Athletic Club preview

In the Copa del Rey fixture between Prat and Athletic Club, the model gives Prat a 40% chance to win, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1 at 9%. The model also suggests a 64% probability for Over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance for both teams to score.

Athletic Club's recent form shows 2 draws and 2 wins in their last 5 matches, while Prat has won their last 2 games. If Athletic Club improves their attacking performance, it could challenge the prediction of both teams scoring and the expected goals of 1.70 for Prat and 1.58 for Athletic Club.

Prat vs Athletic Club: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Prat	Draw	Athletic Club
Model	44%	25%	31%
Market	—	—	—
Published	44%	25%	31%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.80 vs 1.50.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Prat and Athletic Club expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.80Prat

1.50Athletic Club

Total expected goals: 3.30
Attack rating (Prat / Athletic Club): 1.60 / 0.97
Defence rating (Prat / Athletic Club): 0.80 / 0.87

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Prat vs Athletic Club score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 4.7% 4.5% 4.1% 2.1% 1.1% 1 5.7% 11.0% 7.5% 3.7% 1.9% 2 6.0% 9.0% 6.7% 3.4% 1.7% 3 3.6% 5.4% 4.0% 2.0% 1.1% 4+ 2.4% 3.7% 2.7% 1.4% 0.7%

Rows: Prat goals. Columns: Athletic Club goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Prat vs Athletic Club goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 95%

Over 1.5 85%

Over 2.5 64%

Over 3.5 42%

Both teams to score: 66%
No goals (0–0): 5%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Prat vs Athletic Club

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Prat	44%	2.27
	Draw	25%	4.04
	Athletic Club	31%	3.20
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	64%	1.56
	Under 2.5	36%	2.78
Both teams to score	Yes	66%	1.52
	No	34%	2.93
Double chance	1X (Prat or draw)	69%	1.45
	12 (either side)	75%	1.33
	X2 (draw or Athletic Club)	56%	1.79
Handicap -1	Prat win by 2+	24%	4.11
	Push (exactly one goal)	20%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Compare the market for this pick

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites

#	Welcome offer	Why it is here	Visit
1	50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply.	M-PESA Paybill 290059 Daily Jackpot Live betting	Get offer
2	First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.	1,000+ events every day Live betting around the clock 30+ markets on live events	Get offer
3	100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply.	M-Pesa and Airtel Money deposits Live in-play betting Android and iOS app	Get offer
4	200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.	1,000+ events every day 30+ markets on live events 24/7 customer support	Get offer