Real Ávila vs Unionistas de Salamanca preview
In the Copa del Rey match between Real Ávila and Unionistas de Salamanca, the 1X2 probabilities show Unionistas de Salamanca at 65%, while Real Ávila sits at 15%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, with a 10% chance. The expected goals indicate Real Ávila at 1.08 and Unionistas de Salamanca at 2.33, suggesting a strong attacking performance from the visitors.
While there is a 66% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance for both teams to score, these outcomes could be affected by Real Ávila's recent form, which includes a loss in their latest match. Unionistas de Salamanca has also shown inconsistency with a recent loss but a win prior, which could impact their performance in this fixture.
Real Ávila vs Unionistas de Salamanca: model vs market
| Source | Real Ávila | Draw | Unionistas de Salamanca |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 15% | 20% | 65% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 15% | 20% | 65% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.33 vs 1.08.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Real Ávila and Unionistas de Salamanca expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.41
- Attack rating (Real Ávila / Unionistas de Salamanca)
- 0.84 / 1.23
- Defence rating (Real Ávila / Unionistas de Salamanca)
- 0.97 / 0.99
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Real Ávila vs Unionistas de Salamanca score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Real Ávila goals. Columns: Unionistas de Salamanca goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Real Ávila vs Unionistas de Salamanca goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 60%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Real Ávila vs Unionistas de Salamanca
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Ávila | 15% | 6.54 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.95 | |
| Unionistas de Salamanca | 65% | 1.55 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66% | 1.51 |
| Under 2.5 | 34% | 2.96 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60% | 1.66 |
| No | 40% | 2.53 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Real Ávila or draw) | 35% | 2.82 |
| 12 (either side) | 80% | 1.25 | |
| X2 (draw or Unionistas de Salamanca) | 85% | 1.18 | |
| Handicap -1 | Unionistas de Salamanca win by 2+ | 43% | 2.33 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Real Ávila and Unionistas de Salamanca recent form
Real Ávila
1W 1D 2L
Unionistas de Salamanca
1W 0D 1L
Last 4 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
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