Varea vs FC Andorra Prediction & Betting Tips 29/10/2026

Varea vs FC Andorra preview

In the Copa del Rey fixture between Varea and FC Andorra, the 1X2 probabilities show FC Andorra at 48% to win, while Varea sits at 26%. The most likely scoreline forecasted is 1-2, which aligns with expected goals of 1.19 for Varea and 1.68 for FC Andorra.

Both teams to score is predicted at 58%, and there’s a 55% chance of Over 2.5 goals. However, Varea's recent form is not available, which could impact their performance. FC Andorra's recent record of W-D-W-L-L-L shows inconsistency, potentially affecting their ability to secure a win.

Varea vs FC Andorra: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Varea	Draw	FC Andorra
Model	31%	28%	41%
Market	—	—	—
Published	31%	28%	41%
Edge	—	—	—

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Varea and FC Andorra expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.26Varea

1.47FC Andorra

Total expected goals: 2.73
Attack rating (Varea / FC Andorra): 1.00 / 0.76
Defence rating (Varea / FC Andorra): 1.00 / 0.97

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Varea vs FC Andorra score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 7.7% 8.4% 7.0% 3.5% 1.8% 1 7.0% 13.3% 8.9% 4.3% 2.2% 2 5.2% 7.6% 5.6% 2.7% 1.4% 3 2.2% 3.2% 2.3% 1.1% 0.6% 4+ 0.9% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%

Rows: Varea goals. Columns: FC Andorra goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Varea vs FC Andorra goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 92%

Over 1.5 77%

Over 2.5 51%

Over 3.5 29%

Both teams to score: 56%
No goals (0–0): 8%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Varea vs FC Andorra

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Varea	31%	3.20
	Draw	28%	3.58
	FC Andorra	41%	2.45
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	51%	1.95
	Under 2.5	49%	2.05
Both teams to score	Yes	56%	1.78
	No	44%	2.29
Double chance	1X (Varea or draw)	59%	1.69
	12 (either side)	72%	1.39
	X2 (draw or FC Andorra)	69%	1.45
Handicap -1	FC Andorra win by 2+	20%	4.91
	Push (exactly one goal)	20%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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