Girona vs FC Andorra preview
In the upcoming match between Girona and FC Andorra, the 1X2 probabilities show Girona at 52% to win, while FC Andorra sits at 21%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with an 11% chance. Girona has an expected goals figure of 1.66, compared to FC Andorra's 0.97, indicating a stronger attacking performance.
However, the match could deviate from these predictions. Both teams to score stands at 51%, suggesting a competitive edge for FC Andorra that could lead to a surprise goal. Additionally, Girona's recent form includes a draw, which could affect their momentum. With a confidence grade of C, there is room for unpredictability in this fixture.
Girona vs FC Andorra: model vs market
| Source | Girona | Draw | FC Andorra |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52% | 27% | 21% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 52% | 27% | 21% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.60 vs 0.93.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Girona and FC Andorra expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.53
- Attack rating (Girona / FC Andorra)
- 1.02 / 1.01
- Defence rating (Girona / FC Andorra)
- 0.79 / 1.08
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Girona vs FC Andorra score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Girona goals. Columns: FC Andorra goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Girona vs FC Andorra goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 50%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Girona vs FC Andorra
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Girona | 52% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.65 | |
| FC Andorra | 21% | 4.80 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46% | 2.15 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 1.87 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50% | 2.02 |
| No | 50% | 1.98 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Girona or draw) | 79% | 1.26 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or FC Andorra) | 48% | 2.07 | |
| Handicap -1 | Girona win by 2+ | 28% | 3.56 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Girona and FC Andorra recent form
Girona
3W 2D 1L
FC Andorra
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Girona at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-1
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Andorra away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Girona at home only, FC Andorra away only.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Eibar vs Mallorca 2026-10-17
- Sporting Gijon v Albacete — match page 2026-10-17
- Las Palmas v Castellón — match page 2026-10-17
- AD Ceuta FC vs Real Oviedo — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Granada vs Cadiz — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Real Valladolid vs Eldense 2026-10-18
- Burgos vs Sabadell 2026-10-18
- Celta de Vigo II vs Tenerife — team news & stats 2026-10-19
Before and after this match
- Girona, previous: Tenerife v Girona analysis
- Girona, next: Cuarte – Girona, 2026-10-27
- FC Andorra, previous: FC Andorra vs Castellón: odds and pick