FC Andorra vs Castellón: model vs market
| Source | FC Andorra | Draw | Castellón |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 19% | 26% | 55% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 19% | 26% | 55% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.76 vs 0.95.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
FC Andorra and Castellón expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.71
- Attack rating (FC Andorra / Castellón)
- 1.03 / 1.28
- Defence rating (FC Andorra / Castellón)
- 1.17 / 0.63
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FC Andorra vs Castellón score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FC Andorra goals. Columns: Castellón goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FC Andorra vs Castellón goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 52%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FC Andorra vs Castellón
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Andorra | 19% | 5.26 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.90 | |
| Castellón | 55% | 1.81 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51% | 1.97 |
| Under 2.5 | 49% | 2.03 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52% | 1.93 |
| No | 48% | 2.07 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FC Andorra or draw) | 45% | 2.24 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Castellón) | 81% | 1.23 | |
| Handicap -1 | Castellón win by 2+ | 32% | 3.14 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
FC Andorra and Castellón recent form
FC Andorra
1W 1D 4L
Castellón
5W 1D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FC Andorra at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-3
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
Castellón away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: FC Andorra at home only, Castellón away only.
FC Andorra vs Castellón head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: FC Andorra 0 · draws 0 · Castellón 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-01 | Castellón | 2-0 | FC Andorra | Segunda División |
| 2025-11-22 | FC Andorra | 1-3 | Castellón | Segunda División |
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