Celta de Vigo II vs Tenerife preview
Celta de Vigo II faces Tenerife with a 39% chance of winning compared to Tenerife's 34%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with an expected goals figure of 1.79 for Celta de Vigo II and 1.34 for Tenerife. The model suggests a strong possibility of Over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 63%.
Celta de Vigo II's recent form shows a mix of results with two wins in their last six matches, while Tenerife has drawn three of their last six. This inconsistency could impact the outcome, as Celta de Vigo II's performance at home may not guarantee a win against a team that has shown resilience in draws.
Celta de Vigo II vs Tenerife: model vs market
| Source | Celta de Vigo II | Draw | Tenerife |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47% | 25% | 28% |
| Market | 36% | 29% | 35% |
| Published | 39% | 28% | 33% |
| Edge | +11% | -4% | -7% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 1.34.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Celta de Vigo II below the model: +10.6 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.66, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
Celta de Vigo II vs Tenerife odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Celta de Vigo II, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-13.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celta de Vigo II | 2.62 | 2.55 | -0.07 |
| Draw | 3.24 | 3.20 | -0.04 |
| Tenerife | 2.64 | 2.66 | +0.02 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Celta de Vigo II and Tenerife expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.13
- Attack rating (Celta de Vigo II / Tenerife)
- 1.17 / 0.95
- Defence rating (Celta de Vigo II / Tenerife)
- 1.20 / 1.04
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Celta de Vigo II vs Tenerife score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Celta de Vigo II goals. Columns: Tenerife goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Celta de Vigo II vs Tenerife goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 63%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Celta de Vigo II vs Tenerife
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Celta de Vigo II | 39% | 2.57 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.57 | |
| Tenerife | 33% | 3.02 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61% | 1.65 |
| Under 2.5 | 39% | 2.53 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63% | 1.60 |
| No | 37% | 2.67 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Celta de Vigo II or draw) | 67% | 1.49 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or Tenerife) | 61% | 1.64 | |
| Handicap -1 | Celta de Vigo II win by 2+ | 26% | 3.82 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Celta de Vigo II and Tenerife recent form
Celta de Vigo II
2W 1D 3L
Tenerife
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Celta de Vigo II at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- 48% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Tenerife away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 2.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
League matches this season before kick-off: Celta de Vigo II at home only, Tenerife away only.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Eibar vs Mallorca 2026-10-17
- Sporting Gijon v Albacete — match page 2026-10-17
- Las Palmas v Castellón — match page 2026-10-17
- AD Ceuta FC vs Real Oviedo — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Granada vs Cadiz — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Girona v FC Andorra — match page 2026-10-18
- Real Valladolid vs Eldense 2026-10-18
- Burgos vs Sabadell 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Celta de Vigo II, previous: Celta de Vigo II vs Real Sociedad II prediction
- Tenerife, previous: Tenerife v Girona analysis
- Tenerife, next: Badajoz – Tenerife, 2026-10-28