Sporting Gijon vs Albacete preview
In the match between Sporting Gijon and Albacete, the 1X2 probabilities show Sporting Gijon at 61%, while Albacete is at 15%. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, with a probability of 11%. Sporting Gijon has an expected goals figure of 1.90 compared to Albacete's 0.86, indicating a stronger attacking performance.
However, recent form could challenge this forecast. Sporting Gijon has a mixed record with 3 wins and 3 losses in their last 6 matches, while Albacete has struggled, recording 5 losses and 1 draw in the same period. Additionally, head-to-head results show Sporting Gijon has not won against Albacete in their last 2 encounters, with 1 draw and 1 loss.
Sporting Gijon vs Albacete: model vs market
| Source | Sporting Gijon | Draw | Albacete |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 71% | 20% | 9% |
| Market | 48% | 27% | 26% |
| Published | 53% | 25% | 22% |
| Edge | +23% | -7% | -16% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.18 vs 0.68.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Sporting Gijon below the model: +23.4 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.10, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.
Sporting Gijon vs Albacete odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Sporting Gijon, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-12.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Gijon | 1.95 | 1.96 | +0.01 |
| Draw | 3.63 | 3.48 | -0.15 |
| Albacete | 3.94 | 3.65 | -0.29 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Sporting Gijon and Albacete expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.86
- Attack rating (Sporting Gijon / Albacete)
- 1.02 / 0.66
- Defence rating (Sporting Gijon / Albacete)
- 0.88 / 1.47
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Sporting Gijon vs Albacete score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Sporting Gijon goals. Columns: Albacete goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Sporting Gijon vs Albacete goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 45%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Sporting Gijon vs Albacete
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sporting Gijon | 53% | 1.87 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.99 | |
| Albacete | 22% | 4.65 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54% | 1.84 |
| Under 2.5 | 46% | 2.19 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45% | 2.24 |
| No | 55% | 1.80 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Sporting Gijon or draw) | 78% | 1.27 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Albacete) | 47% | 2.15 | |
| Handicap -1 | Sporting Gijon win by 2+ | 48% | 2.10 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Sporting Gijon and Albacete recent form
Sporting Gijon
3W 0D 3L
Albacete
0W 1D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Sporting Gijon at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 0.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
Albacete away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.40
- Goals against / match
- 2.40
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 0 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Sporting Gijon at home only, Albacete away only.
Sporting Gijon vs Albacete head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Sporting Gijon 0 · draws 1 · Albacete 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-15 | Albacete | 1-1 | Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| 2025-09-28 | Sporting Gijon | 3-4 | Albacete | Segunda División |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Leganes vs Cordoba — team news & stats 2026-10-16
- Real Sociedad II v Almeria — match page 2026-10-17
- Eibar vs Mallorca 2026-10-17
- Las Palmas v Castellón — match page 2026-10-17
- AD Ceuta FC vs Real Oviedo — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Granada vs Cadiz — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Girona v FC Andorra — match page 2026-10-18
- Real Valladolid vs Eldense 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Sporting Gijon, previous: Cadiz – Sporting Gijon, 2026-10-11
- Albacete, previous: Real Valladolid vs Albacete: odds and pick
- Albacete, next: Calvo Sotelo – Albacete, 2026-10-28