SS Reyes vs CD Coria preview
In the Copa del Rey fixture between SS Reyes and CD Coria, the 1X2 probabilities show CD Coria at 43%, compared to SS Reyes at 31%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, with a 9% chance. Both teams to score is at 62%, indicating a strong possibility of goals from both sides.
SS Reyes has an expected goals figure of 1.39, while CD Coria stands at 1.68. Recent form shows both teams lost their last matches. The confidence grade is C, suggesting uncertainty in the outcome. Factors like defensive performance or missed chances could influence the match result, making the predicted scoreline less reliable.
SS Reyes vs CD Coria: model vs market
| Source | SS Reyes | Draw | CD Coria |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31% | 26% | 43% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 31% | 26% | 43% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
SS Reyes and CD Coria expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.07
- Attack rating (SS Reyes / CD Coria)
- 0.94 / 0.83
- Defence rating (SS Reyes / CD Coria)
- 1.04 / 1.14
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
SS Reyes vs CD Coria score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: SS Reyes goals. Columns: CD Coria goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
SS Reyes vs CD Coria goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 62%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for SS Reyes vs CD Coria
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SS Reyes | 31% | 3.26 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.86 | |
| CD Coria | 43% | 2.30 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59% | 1.69 |
| Under 2.5 | 41% | 2.45 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62% | 1.61 |
| No | 38% | 2.64 | |
| Double chance | 1X (SS Reyes or draw) | 57% | 1.77 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or CD Coria) | 69% | 1.44 | |
| Handicap -1 | CD Coria win by 2+ | 23% | 4.30 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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| 3 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
SS Reyes and CD Coria recent form
SS Reyes
0W 0D 1L
CD Coria
0W 0D 1L
Last 1 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
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