Updated

Tunisia Ligue 1 · Matchday 6

CS Hammam-Lif vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane

· Stade Municipal de Hammam-Lif, Hammam-Lif

Alin prediction The draw

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 0 – 0

25% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
CS Hammam-LifDrawJeunesse Sportive Omrane

CS Hammam-Lif vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane preview

The match between CS Hammam-Lif and Jeunesse Sportive Omrane has a 30% chance for CS Hammam-Lif to win and a 40% chance for a draw, with Jeunesse Sportive Omrane at 29%. The most likely scoreline is 0-0 at 25%, indicating a low-scoring game.

Both teams show limited attacking potential, with expected goals of 0.72 for CS Hammam-Lif and 0.70 for Jeunesse Sportive Omrane. The low probabilities for Over 2.5 goals at 17% and both teams to score at 27% suggest that a lack of goals could be a significant factor in this match.

CS Hammam-Lif vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceCS Hammam-LifDrawJeunesse Sportive Omrane
Model30%40%29%
Market———
Published30%40%29%
Edge———

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

CS Hammam-Lif and Jeunesse Sportive Omrane expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.72CS Hammam-Lif
0.70Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
Total expected goals
1.42
Attack rating (CS Hammam-Lif / Jeunesse Sportive Omrane)
0.64 / 1.06
Defence rating (CS Hammam-Lif / Jeunesse Sportive Omrane)
0.93 / 1.08

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

CS Hammam-Lif vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 25.4% 15.7% 5.9% 1.4% 0.3% 1 16.2% 13.4% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 2 6.3% 4.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 3 1.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 4+ 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: CS Hammam-Lif goals. Columns: Jeunesse Sportive Omrane goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

CS Hammam-Lif vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 75%
Over 1.5 43%
Over 2.5 17%
Over 3.5 6%
Both teams to score
27%
No goals (0–0)
25%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for CS Hammam-Lif vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2CS Hammam-Lif30%3.29
Draw40%2.47
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane29%3.42
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.517%5.83
Under 2.583%1.21
Both teams to scoreYes27%3.69
No73%1.37
Double chance1X (CS Hammam-Lif or draw)71%1.41
12 (either side)60%1.68
X2 (draw or Jeunesse Sportive Omrane)70%1.44
Handicap -1CS Hammam-Lif win by 2+9%10.61
Push (exactly one goal)21%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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CS Hammam-Lif and Jeunesse Sportive Omrane recent form

CS Hammam-Lif 1W 0D 4L
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 2W 3D 1L

Last 5 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

CS Hammam-Lif at home

Record (W-D-L)
0-0-2
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.00
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
0 of 2

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane away

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.50
Goals against / match
1.50
Clean sheets
0 of 2

League matches this season before kick-off: CS Hammam-Lif at home only, Jeunesse Sportive Omrane away only.

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot The draw Predicted score 0 – 0 C Bet on this match