Updated

Tunisia Ligue 1 · Matchday 7

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs Olympique Béja

· Stade Chedly Zouiten, Tunis

Alin prediction Jeunesse Sportive Omrane to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 1 – 0

14% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Jeunesse Sportive OmraneDrawOlympique Béja
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.74 vs 0.73.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs Olympique Béja preview

In the upcoming match between Jeunesse Sportive Omrane and Olympique Béja, the 1X2 probabilities show Jeunesse Sportive Omrane at 61% to win, while Olympique Béja sits at just 14%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0, with a 14% chance. Jeunesse Sportive Omrane has an expected goals figure of 1.74, compared to Olympique Béja's 0.73, indicating a clear attacking advantage.

However, Jeunesse Sportive Omrane's recent form includes two draws and a loss, which could impact their performance. Olympique Béja has struggled, with six games without a win, but they have historically had the upper hand in their last four encounters, winning three. This could influence the match dynamics, making the outcome less predictable.

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs Olympique Béja: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceJeunesse Sportive OmraneDrawOlympique Béja
Model61%25%14%
Market———
Published61%25%14%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.74 vs 0.73.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane and Olympique Béja expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.74Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
0.73Olympique Béja
Total expected goals
2.47
Attack rating (Jeunesse Sportive Omrane / Olympique Béja)
1.08 / 0.99
Defence rating (Jeunesse Sportive Omrane / Olympique Béja)
1.03 / 1.53

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs Olympique Béja score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 9.5% 5.1% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 1 13.6% 11.8% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 2 12.8% 9.4% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2% 3 7.5% 5.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 4+ 4.8% 3.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%

Rows: Jeunesse Sportive Omrane goals. Columns: Olympique Béja goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs Olympique Béja goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 91%
Over 1.5 72%
Over 2.5 45%
Over 3.5 24%
Both teams to score
44%
No goals (0–0)
9%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs Olympique Béja

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Jeunesse Sportive Omrane61%1.65
Draw25%3.96
Olympique Béja14%7.06
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.545%2.22
Under 2.555%1.82
Both teams to scoreYes44%2.28
No56%1.78
Double chance1X (Jeunesse Sportive Omrane or draw)86%1.16
12 (either side)75%1.34
X2 (draw or Olympique Béja)39%2.54
Handicap -1Jeunesse Sportive Omrane win by 2+35%2.82
Push (exactly one goal)25%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Jeunesse Sportive Omrane and Olympique Béja recent form

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 2W 3D 1L
Olympique Béja 0W 2D 4L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Win rate
67%
Goals for / match
1.33
Goals against / match
0.33
Clean sheets
2 of 3
  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.

Olympique Béja away

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-2
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.67
Goals against / match
1.67
Clean sheets
0 of 3
  • They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Jeunesse Sportive Omrane at home only, Olympique Béja away only.

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs Olympique Béja head-to-head

Last 4 meetings: Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 0 · draws 1 · Olympique Béja 3.

Jeunesse Sportive OmraneDrawsOlympique Béja
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-05-08Olympique Béja2-1Jeunesse Sportive OmraneTunisia Ligue 1
2025-11-10Jeunesse Sportive Omrane0-1Olympique BéjaTunisia Ligue 1
2025-02-13Jeunesse Sportive Omrane2-2Olympique BéjaLigue 1
2024-10-03Olympique Béja2-1Jeunesse Sportive OmraneLigue 1

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Jeunesse Sportive Omrane to win Predicted score 1 – 0 C Bet on Jeunesse Sportive Omrane