Boluspor vs Bodrum FK preview
Boluspor faces Bodrum FK with a 16% chance of winning compared to Bodrum FK's 57%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which aligns with Bodrum FK's expected goals of 1.59 against Boluspor's 0.72. This suggests a stronger attacking performance from Bodrum FK.
However, Boluspor's recent form shows 1 win in their last 6 matches, while Bodrum FK has 4 wins in the same period. The probabilities for Over 2.5 goals stand at 41%, and both teams to score is at 42%. If Boluspor can improve their scoring, the match dynamics could shift.
Boluspor vs Bodrum FK: model vs market
| Source | Boluspor | Draw | Bodrum FK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 17% | 28% | 55% |
| Market | 20% | 25% | 55% |
| Published | 19% | 26% | 55% |
| Edge | -1% | +1% | 0% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.52 vs 0.74.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.70, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -6.7% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Boluspor vs Bodrum FK odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Bodrum FK, 10 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boluspor | 4.60 | 4.60 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.65 | 3.65 | +0.00 |
| Bodrum FK | 1.67 | 1.67 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Boluspor and Bodrum FK expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.27
- Attack rating (Boluspor / Bodrum FK)
- 0.63 / 0.96
- Defence rating (Boluspor / Bodrum FK)
- 1.26 / 0.73
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Boluspor vs Bodrum FK score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Boluspor goals. Columns: Bodrum FK goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Boluspor vs Bodrum FK goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 42%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Boluspor vs Bodrum FK
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Boluspor | 19% | 5.20 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.86 | |
| Bodrum FK | 55% | 1.82 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40% | 2.53 |
| Under 2.5 | 60% | 1.65 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42% | 2.37 |
| No | 58% | 1.73 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Boluspor or draw) | 45% | 2.22 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Bodrum FK) | 81% | 1.24 | |
| Handicap -1 | Bodrum FK win by 2+ | 29% | 3.41 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Boluspor and Bodrum FK recent form
Boluspor
1W 1D 4L
Bodrum FK
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Boluspor at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-5
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.33
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 0 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 11 matches.
Bodrum FK away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 12 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Boluspor at home only, Bodrum FK away only.
Boluspor vs Bodrum FK head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Boluspor 1 · draws 0 · Bodrum FK 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-16 | Bodrum FK | 2-0 | Boluspor | 1. Lig |
| 2025-11-02 | Boluspor | 3-0 | Bodrum FK | 1. Lig |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Antalyaspor vs Bursaspor 2026-11-06
- Keçiörengücü v Manisa F.K. — match page 2026-11-07
- Vanspor FK v Sivasspor — match page 2026-11-07
- Muğlaspor vs Esenler Erokspor 2026-11-07
- Pendikspor vs İstanbulspor — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Bandırmaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük 2026-11-08
- Ümraniyespor vs Kayserispor — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Mardin 1969 vs Batman Petrolspor — team news & stats 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Boluspor, previous: Sivasspor vs Boluspor prediction
- Bodrum FK, previous: Bodrum FK vs Ümraniyespor: odds and pick