Sivasspor vs Boluspor preview
Sivasspor faces Boluspor with a 65% chance of winning, while Boluspor has only a 12% chance. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, with Sivasspor expected to score 1.94 goals compared to Boluspor's 0.72.
Sivasspor's recent form shows they have drawn three times and won once in their last six matches. In contrast, Boluspor has lost five of their last six games. Although Sivasspor is favored, a draw at 23% or an unexpected performance from Boluspor could change the outcome. The chances for Over 2.5 goals stand at 49%, and both teams to score is at 45%.
Sivasspor vs Boluspor: model vs market
| Source | Sivasspor | Draw | Boluspor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 65% | 23% | 12% |
| Market | 60% | 23% | 17% |
| Published | 62% | 23% | 16% |
| Edge | +1% | 0% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 0.72.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.55, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.6% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Sivasspor and Boluspor expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.65
- Attack rating (Sivasspor / Boluspor)
- 0.89 / 0.53
- Defence rating (Sivasspor / Boluspor)
- 1.08 / 1.33
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Sivasspor vs Boluspor score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Sivasspor goals. Columns: Boluspor goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Sivasspor vs Boluspor goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 45%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Sivasspor vs Boluspor
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sivasspor | 62% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.41 | |
| Boluspor | 16% | 6.35 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49% | 2.03 |
| Under 2.5 | 51% | 1.98 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45% | 2.24 |
| No | 55% | 1.81 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Sivasspor or draw) | 84% | 1.19 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.29 | |
| X2 (draw or Boluspor) | 38% | 2.60 | |
| Handicap -1 | Sivasspor win by 2+ | 41% | 2.47 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Sivasspor and Boluspor recent form
Sivasspor
1W 4D 1L
Boluspor
0W 1D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Sivasspor at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-5-0
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.17
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
Boluspor away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-5
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.20
- Goals against / match
- 2.60
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 0 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 10 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Sivasspor at home only, Boluspor away only.
Sivasspor vs Boluspor head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Sivasspor 2 · draws 0 · Boluspor 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | Boluspor | 1-2 | Sivasspor | 1. Lig |
| 2025-11-30 | Sivasspor | 1-0 | Boluspor | 1. Lig |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Vanspor FK vs Sarıyer 2026-10-31
- Bursaspor v Bandırmaspor — match page 2026-10-31
- Fatih Karagümrük v Pendikspor — match page 2026-10-31
- Manisa F.K. vs Batman Petrolspor — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- İstanbulspor vs Mardin 1969 — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Iğdır FK vs Antalyaspor — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Bodrum FK vs Ümraniyespor 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Sivasspor, previous: Ümraniyespor vs Sivasspor: odds and pick
- Boluspor, previous: Boluspor v Vanspor FK analysis