Updated

1. Lig · Matchday 13

Manisa F.K. vs Batman Petrolspor

· Mumin Ozkasap Stadyumu, Manisa

Alin prediction Manisa F.K. to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 2 – 1

7% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Manisa F.K.DrawBatman Petrolspor
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Manisa F.K. vs Batman Petrolspor preview

In the match between Manisa F.K. and Batman Petrolspor, the 1X2 probabilities show Manisa F.K. at 45%, Batman Petrolspor at 33%, and a draw at 22%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which occurs with an 8% probability.

Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Manisa F.K. recording L-D-L-L-D-L and Batman Petrolspor at D-W-L-L-L-W. The expected goals are 2.21 for Manisa F.K. and 1.89 for Batman Petrolspor. The high percentages for Over 2.5 goals at 78% and both teams to score at 76% suggest a potentially open game, but the confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the outcome.

Manisa F.K. vs Batman Petrolspor: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceManisa F.K.DrawBatman Petrolspor
Model43%21%35%
Market———
Published43%21%35%
Edge———

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Manisa F.K. and Batman Petrolspor expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.22Manisa F.K.
2.00Batman Petrolspor
Total expected goals
4.23
Attack rating (Manisa F.K. / Batman Petrolspor)
1.12 / 1.35
Defence rating (Manisa F.K. / Batman Petrolspor)
1.18 / 1.22

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Manisa F.K. vs Batman Petrolspor score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 2.1% 2.3% 2.9% 2.0% 1.6% 1 2.6% 7.2% 6.5% 4.4% 3.5% 2 3.6% 7.2% 7.2% 4.8% 3.8% 3 2.7% 5.4% 5.4% 3.6% 2.8% 4+ 2.5% 5.0% 5.0% 3.3% 2.7%

Rows: Manisa F.K. goals. Columns: Batman Petrolspor goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Manisa F.K. vs Batman Petrolspor goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 98%
Over 1.5 93%
Over 2.5 79%
Over 3.5 61%
Both teams to score
78%
No goals (0–0)
2%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Manisa F.K. vs Batman Petrolspor

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Manisa F.K.43%2.30
Draw21%4.70
Batman Petrolspor35%2.83
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.579%1.26
Under 2.521%4.83
Both teams to scoreYes78%1.29
No22%4.50
Double chance1X (Manisa F.K. or draw)65%1.55
12 (either side)79%1.27
X2 (draw or Batman Petrolspor)57%1.77
Handicap -1Manisa F.K. win by 2+26%3.89
Push (exactly one goal)18%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites
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Manisa F.K. and Batman Petrolspor recent form

Manisa F.K. 0W 2D 4L
Batman Petrolspor 2W 1D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Manisa F.K. at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-2-3
Win rate
17%
Goals for / match
1.50
Goals against / match
1.50
Clean sheets
1 of 6
  • They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
  • 56% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Batman Petrolspor away

Record (W-D-L)
2-2-2
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
1.50
Goals against / match
1.83
Clean sheets
1 of 6
  • They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They average 2.6 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Manisa F.K. at home only, Batman Petrolspor away only.

Other Matchday 13 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Manisa F.K. to win Predicted score 2 – 1 C Bet on Manisa F.K.