Vanspor FK vs Sarıyer preview
In the upcoming match between Vanspor FK and Sarıyer, the 1X2 probabilities show Vanspor FK at 37% and Sarıyer at 35%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a probability of 8%. Both teams to score sits at 56%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 50%.
Vanspor FK's recent form includes 1 win and 4 losses in their last 6 matches, while Sarıyer has 1 win and 3 draws in the same period. The head-to-head record shows Vanspor FK has not won against Sarıyer in their last 2 encounters, with 1 draw and 1 loss. A surprising result could come from either team's ability to improve their recent performances.
Vanspor FK vs Sarıyer: model vs market
| Source | Vanspor FK | Draw | Sarıyer |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43% | 29% | 29% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 43% | 29% | 29% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Vanspor FK and Sarıyer expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.58
- Attack rating (Vanspor FK / Sarıyer)
- 0.86 / 0.80
- Defence rating (Vanspor FK / Sarıyer)
- 1.15 / 1.04
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Vanspor FK vs Sarıyer score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Vanspor FK goals. Columns: Sarıyer goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Vanspor FK vs Sarıyer goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 53%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Vanspor FK vs Sarıyer
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vanspor FK | 43% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.49 | |
| Sarıyer | 29% | 3.47 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48% | 2.09 |
| Under 2.5 | 52% | 1.91 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53% | 1.88 |
| No | 47% | 2.14 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Vanspor FK or draw) | 71% | 1.40 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.40 | |
| X2 (draw or Sarıyer) | 57% | 1.74 | |
| Handicap -1 | Vanspor FK win by 2+ | 21% | 4.73 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Vanspor FK and Sarıyer recent form
Vanspor FK
2W 1D 3L
Sarıyer
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Vanspor FK at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-4
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.83
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sarıyer away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-1
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Vanspor FK at home only, Sarıyer away only.
Vanspor FK vs Sarıyer head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Vanspor FK 0 · draws 1 · Sarıyer 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | Vanspor FK | 0-0 | Sarıyer | 1. Lig |
| 2025-11-07 | Sarıyer | 2-1 | Vanspor FK | 1. Lig |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Esenler Erokspor v Keçiörengücü — match page 2026-10-30
- Bursaspor v Bandırmaspor — match page 2026-10-31
- Fatih Karagümrük v Pendikspor — match page 2026-10-31
- Manisa F.K. vs Batman Petrolspor — team news & stats 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Vanspor FK, previous: Boluspor v Vanspor FK analysis
- Sarıyer, previous: Sarıyer vs Fatih Karagümrük: odds and pick