Iğdır FK vs Antalyaspor preview
Iğdır FK faces Antalyaspor with a 55% chance of winning according to our model. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which occurs 12% of the time in simulations. Iğdır FK has a stronger expected goals figure of 1.66 compared to Antalyaspor's 0.85.
However, the match could deviate from this prediction. Both teams to score stands at 48%, indicating a near-equal chance that both teams may find the net. Additionally, while Iğdır FK is in good form with 4 wins and 2 draws in their last 6 matches, Antalyaspor has also been consistent with 4 wins in their last 6. The confidence grade for this prediction is C, suggesting some uncertainty.
Iğdır FK vs Antalyaspor: model vs market
| Source | Iğdır FK | Draw | Antalyaspor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55% | 27% | 18% |
| Market | 45% | 28% | 28% |
| Published | 47% | 27% | 25% |
| Edge | +3% | 0% | -2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.66 vs 0.85.
- The market prices Iğdır FK below our published probability: +2.7 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.07, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -2.1% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Iğdır FK and Antalyaspor expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.51
- Attack rating (Iğdır FK / Antalyaspor)
- 1.01 / 0.97
- Defence rating (Iğdır FK / Antalyaspor)
- 0.70 / 1.01
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Iğdır FK vs Antalyaspor score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Iğdır FK goals. Columns: Antalyaspor goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Iğdır FK vs Antalyaspor goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 48%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Iğdır FK vs Antalyaspor
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Iğdır FK | 47% | 2.12 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.66 | |
| Antalyaspor | 25% | 3.94 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46% | 2.18 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 1.85 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48% | 2.11 |
| No | 52% | 1.90 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Iğdır FK or draw) | 75% | 1.34 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or Antalyaspor) | 53% | 1.90 | |
| Handicap -1 | Iğdır FK win by 2+ | 31% | 3.23 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Iğdır FK and Antalyaspor recent form
Iğdır FK
4W 2D 0L
Antalyaspor
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Iğdır FK at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-0-1
- Win rate
- 83%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 6
- They have won 7 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Antalyaspor away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-1
- Win rate
- 80%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 0.60
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Iğdır FK at home only, Antalyaspor away only.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Vanspor FK vs Sarıyer 2026-10-31
- Bursaspor v Bandırmaspor — match page 2026-10-31
- Fatih Karagümrük v Pendikspor — match page 2026-10-31
- Manisa F.K. vs Batman Petrolspor — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Sivasspor vs Boluspor 2026-11-01
- İstanbulspor vs Mardin 1969 — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Bodrum FK vs Ümraniyespor 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Iğdır FK, previous: Bandırmaspor vs Iğdır FK prediction
- Antalyaspor, previous: Antalyaspor – Bodrum FK, 2026-10-25