Bursaspor vs Bandırmaspor preview
In the upcoming match between Bursaspor and Bandırmaspor, the 1X2 probabilities show Bursaspor at 53%, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0 at 13%. Bursaspor has a stronger expected goals figure of 1.55 compared to Bandırmaspor's 0.84.
However, recent form indicates some volatility, as Bursaspor has mixed results with W-W-L-W-D-W, while Bandırmaspor has struggled with L-L-D-W-L-D. This inconsistency could lead to unexpected outcomes, making the predictions less reliable. The chances for Over 2.5 goals stand at 43%, and both teams to score is at 46%, suggesting potential for a more dynamic match than the scoreline might indicate.
Bursaspor vs Bandırmaspor: model vs market
| Source | Bursaspor | Draw | Bandırmaspor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53% | 28% | 19% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 53% | 28% | 19% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 0.84.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Bursaspor and Bandırmaspor expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.38
- Attack rating (Bursaspor / Bandırmaspor)
- 1.29 / 0.95
- Defence rating (Bursaspor / Bandırmaspor)
- 0.70 / 0.74
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Bursaspor vs Bandırmaspor score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Bursaspor goals. Columns: Bandırmaspor goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Bursaspor vs Bandırmaspor goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 46%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Bursaspor vs Bandırmaspor
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bursaspor | 53% | 1.89 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.57 | |
| Bandırmaspor | 19% | 5.23 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43% | 2.35 |
| Under 2.5 | 57% | 1.74 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46% | 2.18 |
| No | 54% | 1.85 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Bursaspor or draw) | 81% | 1.24 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or Bandırmaspor) | 47% | 2.12 | |
| Handicap -1 | Bursaspor win by 2+ | 28% | 3.53 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Bursaspor and Bandırmaspor recent form
Bursaspor
4W 1D 1L
Bandırmaspor
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Bursaspor at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-1
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.80
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
- They have won 8 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Bandırmaspor away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-1
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.80
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Bursaspor at home only, Bandırmaspor away only.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Esenler Erokspor v Keçiörengücü — match page 2026-10-30
- Vanspor FK vs Sarıyer 2026-10-31
- Fatih Karagümrük v Pendikspor — match page 2026-10-31
- Manisa F.K. vs Batman Petrolspor — team news & stats 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Bursaspor, previous: Keçiörengücü – Bursaspor, 2026-10-25
- Bandırmaspor, previous: Bandırmaspor vs Iğdır FK prediction