Mardin 1969 vs Batman Petrolspor preview
In the 1. Lig fixture between Mardin 1969 and Batman Petrolspor, the 1X2 probabilities show Mardin 1969 at 52%, while Batman Petrolspor stands at 24%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with an expected goals figure of 2.02 for Mardin 1969 and 1.33 for Batman Petrolspor.
Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are both at 65%, indicating a strong likelihood of a high-scoring match. However, the recent form reveals Mardin 1969 with three wins and three losses in their last six matches, while Batman Petrolspor has two wins and four losses. This inconsistency could affect the outcome, making the prediction less certain.
Mardin 1969 vs Batman Petrolspor: model vs market
| Source | Mardin 1969 | Draw | Batman Petrolspor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53% | 23% | 24% |
| Market | 44% | 27% | 28% |
| Published | 47% | 26% | 27% |
| Edge | +2% | -1% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.03 vs 1.33.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Mardin 1969 below our published probability: +2.1 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.10, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -2.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Mardin 1969 vs Batman Petrolspor odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Mardin 1969, 6 snapshots since 2026-11-04.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mardin 1969 | 2.10 | 2.05 | -0.05 |
| Draw | 3.35 | 3.38 | +0.02 |
| Batman Petrolspor | 3.20 | 3.20 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Mardin 1969 and Batman Petrolspor expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.35
- Attack rating (Mardin 1969 / Batman Petrolspor)
- 1.01 / 1.28
- Defence rating (Mardin 1969 / Batman Petrolspor)
- 0.83 / 1.23
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Mardin 1969 vs Batman Petrolspor score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Mardin 1969 goals. Columns: Batman Petrolspor goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Mardin 1969 vs Batman Petrolspor goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 65%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Mardin 1969 vs Batman Petrolspor
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mardin 1969 | 47% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.83 | |
| Batman Petrolspor | 27% | 3.66 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65% | 1.54 |
| Under 2.5 | 35% | 2.86 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65% | 1.55 |
| No | 35% | 2.83 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Mardin 1969 or draw) | 73% | 1.38 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Batman Petrolspor) | 53% | 1.87 | |
| Handicap -1 | Mardin 1969 win by 2+ | 32% | 3.16 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Mardin 1969 and Batman Petrolspor recent form
Mardin 1969
4W 0D 2L
Batman Petrolspor
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Mardin 1969 at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.17
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 6
- They have won 6 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
Batman Petrolspor away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-3
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.43
- Goals against / match
- 1.86
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 7
- They have won 7 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Mardin 1969 at home only, Batman Petrolspor away only.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Antalyaspor vs Bursaspor 2026-11-06
- Keçiörengücü v Manisa F.K. — match page 2026-11-07
- Vanspor FK v Sivasspor — match page 2026-11-07
- Muğlaspor vs Esenler Erokspor 2026-11-07
- Pendikspor vs İstanbulspor — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Bandırmaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük 2026-11-08
- Boluspor v Bodrum FK — match page 2026-11-08
- Ümraniyespor vs Kayserispor — team news & stats 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Mardin 1969, previous: İstanbulspor v Mardin 1969 analysis
- Batman Petrolspor, previous: Manisa F.K. – Batman Petrolspor, 2026-10-31