Pendikspor vs İstanbulspor preview
In the match between Pendikspor and İstanbulspor, the 1X2 probabilities show Pendikspor at 57% to win, compared to İstanbulspor at 19%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with the expected goals of 2.03 for Pendikspor and 1.12 for İstanbulspor.
While Pendikspor has a stronger chance of winning, recent form could complicate the outcome. Pendikspor's last six matches include three draws, while İstanbulspor has lost four of their last six. Additionally, both teams to score stands at 59%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 61%, indicating potential for a high-scoring game.
Pendikspor vs İstanbulspor: model vs market
| Source | Pendikspor | Draw | İstanbulspor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 58% | 23% | 19% |
| Market | 52% | 25% | 22% |
| Published | 54% | 25% | 22% |
| Edge | +1% | 0% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.01 vs 1.07.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.80, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.2% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Pendikspor vs İstanbulspor odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Pendikspor, 10 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pendikspor | 1.75 | 1.75 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.69 | 3.64 | -0.05 |
| İstanbulspor | 4.12 | 4.07 | -0.04 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Pendikspor and İstanbulspor expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.09
- Attack rating (Pendikspor / İstanbulspor)
- 0.80 / 0.77
- Defence rating (Pendikspor / İstanbulspor)
- 1.11 / 1.55
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Pendikspor vs İstanbulspor score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Pendikspor goals. Columns: İstanbulspor goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Pendikspor vs İstanbulspor goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 58%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Pendikspor vs İstanbulspor
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pendikspor | 54% | 1.86 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.05 | |
| İstanbulspor | 22% | 4.65 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60% | 1.68 |
| Under 2.5 | 40% | 2.47 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58% | 1.72 |
| No | 42% | 2.38 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Pendikspor or draw) | 78% | 1.27 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or İstanbulspor) | 46% | 2.16 | |
| Handicap -1 | Pendikspor win by 2+ | 36% | 2.80 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Pendikspor and İstanbulspor recent form
Pendikspor
1W 2D 3L
İstanbulspor
1W 0D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Pendikspor at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-4-1
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
İstanbulspor away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-6
- Win rate
- 14%
- Goals for / match
- 0.71
- Goals against / match
- 3.29
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 7
- They have won 1 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 13 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Pendikspor at home only, İstanbulspor away only.
Pendikspor vs İstanbulspor head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Pendikspor 3 · draws 3 · İstanbulspor 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Pendikspor | 1-1 | İstanbulspor | 1. Lig |
| 2025-11-02 | İstanbulspor | 0-0 | Pendikspor | 1. Lig |
| 2025-04-27 | İstanbulspor | 5-2 | Pendikspor | 1. Lig |
| 2024-12-21 | Pendikspor | 1-1 | İstanbulspor | 1. Lig |
| 2024-03-15 | Pendikspor | 1-0 | İstanbulspor | Süper Lig |
| 2023-11-04 | İstanbulspor | 2-4 | Pendikspor | Süper Lig |
| 2017-01-15 | Pendikspor | 0-2 | İstanbulspor | 2. Lig |
| 2016-09-03 | İstanbulspor | 1-0 | Pendikspor | 2. Lig |
| 2016-03-06 | Pendikspor | 1-0 | İstanbulspor | 2. Lig |
| 2015-10-24 | İstanbulspor | 2-0 | Pendikspor | 2. Lig |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Antalyaspor vs Bursaspor 2026-11-06
- Sarıyer vs Iğdır FK 2026-11-06
- Keçiörengücü v Manisa F.K. — match page 2026-11-07
- Vanspor FK v Sivasspor — match page 2026-11-07
- Muğlaspor vs Esenler Erokspor 2026-11-07
- Bandırmaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük 2026-11-08
- Boluspor v Bodrum FK — match page 2026-11-08
- Ümraniyespor vs Kayserispor — team news & stats 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Pendikspor, previous: Fatih Karagümrük vs Pendikspor prediction
- İstanbulspor, previous: İstanbulspor v Mardin 1969 analysis