Amed vs Eyüpspor preview
Amed faces Eyüpspor with a strong 1X2 probability of 86% for Amed to win, compared to just 4% for Eyüpspor. The most likely scoreline predicted is 3-0, with Amed showing an expected goals figure of 3.35, while Eyüpspor sits at only 0.73.
The model suggests a high chance of Over 2.5 goals at 77%, indicating a potentially high-scoring match. However, Eyüpspor's recent form is concerning, as they have lost 6 matches in a row. If Eyüpspor can improve their performance or if Amed underperforms, the expected outcome could change.
Amed vs Eyüpspor: model vs market
| Source | Amed | Draw | Eyüpspor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 86% | 10% | 4% |
| Market | 72% | 18% | 10% |
| Published | 76% | 16% | 9% |
| Edge | +3% | -2% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.36 vs 0.73.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Amed below our published probability: +3.4 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.32, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -0.1% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Amed and Eyüpspor expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.09
- Attack rating (Amed / Eyüpspor)
- 1.46 / 0.64
- Defence rating (Amed / Eyüpspor)
- 0.95 / 1.55
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Amed vs Eyüpspor score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Amed goals. Columns: Eyüpspor goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Amed vs Eyüpspor goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 50%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Amed vs Eyüpspor
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Amed | 76% | 1.32 |
| Draw | 16% | 6.38 | |
| Eyüpspor | 9% | 11.58 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77% | 1.29 |
| Under 2.5 | 23% | 4.43 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50% | 1.98 |
| No | 50% | 2.02 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Amed or draw) | 91% | 1.09 |
| 12 (either side) | 84% | 1.19 | |
| X2 (draw or Eyüpspor) | 24% | 4.11 | |
| Handicap -1 | Amed win by 2+ | 70% | 1.42 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Amed and Eyüpspor recent form
Amed
4W 2D 0L
Eyüpspor
0W 0D 6L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Amed at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.80
- Goals against / match
- 0.60
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- 52% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Eyüpspor away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.00
- Goals against / match
- 3.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.2 goals per match.
- They average 0.5 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 8 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Amed at home only, Eyüpspor away only.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Konyaspor vs Galatasaray — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- Erzurumspor FK v Çorum FK — match page 2026-10-31
- Kocaelispor vs Rizespor 2026-10-31
- Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe 2026-10-31
- Başakşehir v Samsunspor — match page 2026-11-01
- Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Amed, previous: Samsunspor v Amed analysis
- Eyüpspor, previous: Eyüpspor – Kasımpaşa, 2026-10-24