Konyaspor vs Galatasaray preview
In the Süper Lig fixture between Konyaspor and Galatasaray, the 1X2 probabilities show Galatasaray at 54%, while Konyaspor sits at 22%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 9% chance according to our model. Galatasaray's recent form includes 5 wins in their last 6 matches, which could bolster their chances of winning.
Konyaspor has an expected goals figure of 1.26, while Galatasaray has 1.50. The model suggests a 52% likelihood of Over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance for both teams to score. However, Konyaspor's recent struggles, with 4 matches without a win, could impact their performance against a stronger Galatasaray side.
Konyaspor vs Galatasaray: model vs market
| Source | Konyaspor | Draw | Galatasaray |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37% | 28% | 35% |
| Market | 19% | 23% | 58% |
| Published | 24% | 24% | 52% |
| Edge | +4% | +1% | -6% |
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.68, recorded — the top price across the 4 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -12.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Konyaspor vs Galatasaray odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Galatasaray, 5 snapshots since 2026-10-24.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Konyaspor | 4.90 | 4.88 | -0.02 |
| Draw | 4.15 | 4.15 | +0.00 |
| Galatasaray | 1.65 | 1.62 | -0.02 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Konyaspor and Galatasaray expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.73
- Attack rating (Konyaspor / Galatasaray)
- 0.73 / 1.38
- Defence rating (Konyaspor / Galatasaray)
- 0.81 / 1.27
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Konyaspor vs Galatasaray score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Konyaspor goals. Columns: Galatasaray goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Konyaspor vs Galatasaray goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 57%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Konyaspor vs Galatasaray
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Konyaspor | 24% | 4.21 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.16 | |
| Galatasaray | 52% | 1.91 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51% | 1.94 |
| Under 2.5 | 49% | 2.06 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57% | 1.76 |
| No | 43% | 2.31 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Konyaspor or draw) | 48% | 2.09 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Galatasaray) | 76% | 1.31 | |
| Handicap -1 | Galatasaray win by 2+ | 16% | 6.14 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Konyaspor and Galatasaray recent form
Konyaspor
2W 2D 2L
Galatasaray
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Konyaspor at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 0.80
- Goals against / match
- 0.60
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.
Galatasaray away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Konyaspor at home only, Galatasaray away only.
Konyaspor vs Galatasaray head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Konyaspor 1 · draws 0 · Galatasaray 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Konyaspor | 2-0 | Galatasaray | Süper Lig |
| 2025-09-22 | Galatasaray | 3-1 | Konyaspor | Süper Lig |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Erzurumspor FK v Çorum FK — match page 2026-10-31
- Kocaelispor vs Rizespor 2026-10-31
- Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe 2026-10-31
- Amed vs Eyüpspor — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Başakşehir v Samsunspor — match page 2026-11-01
- Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Konyaspor, previous: Konyaspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.: odds and pick
- Galatasaray, previous: Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe prediction
- Galatasaray, next: Galatasaray vs VfB Stuttgart prediction