Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Alanyaspor: model vs market
| Source | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | Draw | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30% | 30% | 39% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 30% | 30% | 39% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Gençlerbirliği S.K. and Alanyaspor expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.35
- Attack rating (Gençlerbirliği S.K. / Alanyaspor)
- 0.73 / 0.81
- Defence rating (Gençlerbirliği S.K. / Alanyaspor)
- 1.29 / 1.00
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Alanyaspor score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Gençlerbirliği S.K. goals. Columns: Alanyaspor goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Alanyaspor goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 49%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Alanyaspor
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 30% | 3.30 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.29 | |
| Alanyaspor | 39% | 2.55 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42% | 2.38 |
| Under 2.5 | 58% | 1.72 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49% | 2.04 |
| No | 51% | 1.96 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Gençlerbirliği S.K. or draw) | 61% | 1.65 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.44 | |
| X2 (draw or Alanyaspor) | 70% | 1.43 | |
| Handicap -1 | Alanyaspor win by 2+ | 18% | 5.54 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. and Alanyaspor recent form
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0W 1D 5L
Alanyaspor
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Gençlerbirliği S.K. at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Alanyaspor away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Gençlerbirliği S.K. at home only, Alanyaspor away only.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Alanyaspor head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Gençlerbirliği S.K. 0 · draws 2 · Alanyaspor 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-09 | Alanyaspor | 0-0 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | Süper Lig |
| 2025-10-04 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 2-2 | Alanyaspor | Süper Lig |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Konyaspor vs Galatasaray — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- Erzurumspor FK v Çorum FK — match page 2026-10-31
- Kocaelispor vs Rizespor 2026-10-31
- Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe 2026-10-31
- Amed vs Eyüpspor — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Başakşehir v Samsunspor — match page 2026-11-01
- Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Gençlerbirliği S.K., previous: Konyaspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.: odds and pick
- Alanyaspor, previous: Alanyaspor v Kocaelispor analysis