Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK preview
In the Süper Lig fixture between Erzurumspor FK and Çorum FK, the 1X2 probabilities show Çorum FK at 41%, Erzurumspor FK at 30%, and a draw at 29%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 9% chance. Both teams to score stands at 53%, indicating a good potential for goals from both sides.
Erzurumspor FK's expected goals are 1.17, while Çorum FK's are slightly higher at 1.40. Recent form shows Erzurumspor FK with 4 wins and 2 draws in their last 6 matches, while Çorum FK has 4 wins and 2 losses. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting that while Çorum FK has the edge, unexpected outcomes could arise.
Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK: model vs market
| Source | Erzurumspor FK | Draw | Çorum FK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35% | 30% | 35% |
| Market | 35% | 29% | 36% |
| Published | 35% | 29% | 36% |
| Edge | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.71, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -2.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Çorum FK, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-25.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Erzurumspor FK | 2.77 | 2.66 | -0.11 |
| Draw | 3.45 | 3.25 | -0.20 |
| Çorum FK | 2.40 | 2.58 | +0.18 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Erzurumspor FK and Çorum FK expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.49
- Attack rating (Erzurumspor FK / Çorum FK)
- 0.88 / 1.27
- Defence rating (Erzurumspor FK / Çorum FK)
- 0.81 / 0.96
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Erzurumspor FK goals. Columns: Çorum FK goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 52%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Erzurumspor FK | 35% | 2.84 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.45 | |
| Çorum FK | 36% | 2.79 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45% | 2.20 |
| Under 2.5 | 55% | 1.83 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52% | 1.92 |
| No | 48% | 2.09 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Erzurumspor FK or draw) | 64% | 1.56 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or Çorum FK) | 65% | 1.54 | |
| Handicap -1 | Çorum FK win by 2+ | 16% | 6.39 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Erzurumspor FK and Çorum FK recent form
Erzurumspor FK
4W 1D 1L
Çorum FK
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Erzurumspor FK at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Çorum FK away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 2.40
- Goals against / match
- 2.20
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game on the road against 1.5 at home.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Erzurumspor FK at home only, Çorum FK away only.
Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Erzurumspor FK 1 · draws 1 · Çorum FK 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Çorum FK | 1-1 | Erzurumspor FK | 1. Lig |
| 2025-12-28 | Erzurumspor FK | 1-0 | Çorum FK | 1. Lig |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Konyaspor vs Galatasaray — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- Kocaelispor vs Rizespor 2026-10-31
- Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe 2026-10-31
- Amed vs Eyüpspor — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Başakşehir v Samsunspor — match page 2026-11-01
- Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Erzurumspor FK, previous: Gaziantep FK vs Erzurumspor FK prediction
- Çorum FK, previous: Göztepe – Çorum FK, 2026-10-25