Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe preview
In the Süper Lig fixture between Fenerbahçe and Göztepe, the 1X2 probabilities show Fenerbahçe at 61%, while Göztepe is at 20%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with an 8% chance. Fenerbahçe's expected goals stand at 2.72, and Göztepe's at 1.59, indicating a strong attacking performance from Fenerbahçe.
However, Fenerbahçe has not won in their last two meetings against Göztepe, with 2 draws in their last 2 encounters. Both teams to score has a 75% probability, and Over 2.5 goals is at 80%. If Göztepe can disrupt Fenerbahçe's attacking flow, these predictions could be challenged.
Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe: model vs market
| Source | Fenerbahçe | Draw | Göztepe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55% | 21% | 24% |
| Market | 68% | 19% | 13% |
| Published | 65% | 19% | 16% |
| Edge | -3% | 0% | +3% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.41 vs 1.60.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.39, recorded — the top price across the 4 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.7% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Fenerbahçe, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-25.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahçe | 1.38 | 1.38 | -0.00 |
| Draw | 5.05 | 5.03 | -0.02 |
| Göztepe | 7.30 | 7.25 | -0.05 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Fenerbahçe and Göztepe expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.02
- Attack rating (Fenerbahçe / Göztepe)
- 1.48 / 1.36
- Defence rating (Fenerbahçe / Göztepe)
- 0.97 / 1.10
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Fenerbahçe goals. Columns: Göztepe goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 73%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fenerbahçe | 65% | 1.54 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.21 | |
| Göztepe | 16% | 6.32 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76% | 1.31 |
| Under 2.5 | 24% | 4.25 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73% | 1.36 |
| No | 27% | 3.76 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Fenerbahçe or draw) | 84% | 1.19 |
| 12 (either side) | 81% | 1.24 | |
| X2 (draw or Göztepe) | 35% | 2.86 | |
| Handicap -1 | Fenerbahçe win by 2+ | 35% | 2.83 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Fenerbahçe and Göztepe recent form
Fenerbahçe
3W 2D 1L
Göztepe
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Fenerbahçe at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 4.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.8 goals per match.
- They average 4.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Göztepe away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-1
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 2.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.6 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
- They have converted 5 of 7 penalties (71%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Fenerbahçe at home only, Göztepe away only.
Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Fenerbahçe 0 · draws 2 · Göztepe 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | Fenerbahçe | 1-1 | Göztepe | Süper Lig |
| 2025-08-16 | Göztepe | 0-0 | Fenerbahçe | Süper Lig |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Konyaspor vs Galatasaray — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- Erzurumspor FK v Çorum FK — match page 2026-10-31
- Kocaelispor vs Rizespor 2026-10-31
- Amed vs Eyüpspor — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Başakşehir v Samsunspor — match page 2026-11-01
- Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Fenerbahçe, previous: Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe prediction
- Fenerbahçe, next: Fenerbahçe – Liverpool, 2026-11-04
- Göztepe, previous: Göztepe – Çorum FK, 2026-10-25