Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK preview
Trabzonspor faces Gaziantep FK with a strong 79% probability of winning, while Gaziantep FK has just a 7% chance. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which aligns with Trabzonspor's expected goals of 2.72 compared to Gaziantep FK's 0.71. With a 67% chance for Over 2.5 goals, there is potential for a high-scoring match.
However, the recent form shows Trabzonspor with 4 wins and 1 loss, while Gaziantep FK has lost 4 of their last 5 matches. This could lead to an unexpected outcome, especially if Gaziantep FK manages to improve their performance. Additionally, both teams to score has a 48% probability, indicating that Gaziantep FK could find the net despite their struggles.
Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK: model vs market
| Source | Trabzonspor | Draw | Gaziantep FK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 79% | 14% | 7% |
| Market | 67% | 19% | 14% |
| Published | 70% | 18% | 12% |
| Edge | +3% | -1% | -2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.72 vs 0.71.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Trabzonspor below our published probability: +3.1 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.45, recorded — the top price across the 3 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +1.0% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Trabzonspor and Gaziantep FK expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.43
- Attack rating (Trabzonspor / Gaziantep FK)
- 1.43 / 0.77
- Defence rating (Trabzonspor / Gaziantep FK)
- 0.76 / 1.28
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Trabzonspor goals. Columns: Gaziantep FK goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 48%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Trabzonspor | 70% | 1.44 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.50 | |
| Gaziantep FK | 12% | 8.24 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 33% | 3.00 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48% | 2.08 |
| No | 52% | 1.93 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Trabzonspor or draw) | 88% | 1.14 |
| 12 (either side) | 82% | 1.22 | |
| X2 (draw or Gaziantep FK) | 30% | 3.30 | |
| Handicap -1 | Trabzonspor win by 2+ | 59% | 1.69 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Trabzonspor and Gaziantep FK recent form
Trabzonspor
5W 0D 1L
Gaziantep FK
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Trabzonspor at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 3.25
- Goals against / match
- 0.25
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gaziantep FK away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- 63% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Trabzonspor at home only, Gaziantep FK away only.
Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Trabzonspor 1 · draws 1 · Gaziantep FK 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22 | Gaziantep FK | 1-2 | Trabzonspor | Süper Lig |
| 2025-09-20 | Trabzonspor | 1-1 | Gaziantep FK | Süper Lig |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Konyaspor vs Galatasaray — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- Erzurumspor FK v Çorum FK — match page 2026-10-31
- Kocaelispor vs Rizespor 2026-10-31
- Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe 2026-10-31
- Amed vs Eyüpspor — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Başakşehir v Samsunspor — match page 2026-11-01
- Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Trabzonspor, previous: Rizespor vs Trabzonspor: odds and pick
- Trabzonspor, next: Trabzonspor – Freiburg, 2026-11-05
- Gaziantep FK, previous: Gaziantep FK vs Erzurumspor FK prediction