Express vs Blacks Power preview
In the Uganda Premier League fixture between Express and Blacks Power, the 1X2 probabilities show Express at 43%, draw at 31%, and Blacks Power at 26%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a probability of 13%.
Express has an expected goals figure of 1.27, while Blacks Power sits at 0.91. The model suggests a 37% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance for both teams to score. The recent form indicates Express has struggled with a series of draws and losses, while Blacks Power has a mix of results, including a recent win. This inconsistency could affect the outcome of the match.
Express vs Blacks Power: model vs market
| Source | Express | Draw | Blacks Power |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45% | 32% | 23% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 45% | 32% | 23% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.27 vs 0.84.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Express and Blacks Power expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.11
- Attack rating (Express / Blacks Power)
- 0.86 / 0.93
- Defence rating (Express / Blacks Power)
- 1.03 / 1.19
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Express vs Blacks Power score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Express goals. Columns: Blacks Power goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Express vs Blacks Power goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 42%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Express vs Blacks Power
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Express | 45% | 2.22 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.17 | |
| Blacks Power | 23% | 4.28 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35% | 2.84 |
| Under 2.5 | 65% | 1.54 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42% | 2.38 |
| No | 58% | 1.73 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Express or draw) | 77% | 1.30 |
| 12 (either side) | 68% | 1.46 | |
| X2 (draw or Blacks Power) | 55% | 1.82 | |
| Handicap -1 | Express win by 2+ | 21% | 4.72 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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| 4 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Express and Blacks Power recent form
Express
0W 5D 1L
Blacks Power
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Express at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-1
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
Blacks Power away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Express at home only, Blacks Power away only.
Express vs Blacks Power head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Express 0 · draws 1 · Blacks Power 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-05-27 | Blacks Power | 3-1 | Express | Premier League |
| 2022-12-21 | Express | 0-0 | Blacks Power | Premier League |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- BUL v SC Villa — match page 2026-11-03
- Police vs Kitara — team news & stats 2026-11-03
- NEC vs UPDF 2026-11-03
- Kataka v URA — match page 2026-11-04
- KCCA vs Maroons — team news & stats 2026-11-04
- Ntugasaze v Entebbe UPPC — match page 2026-11-05
- Vipers vs Lugazi 2026-11-05
- Kigezi HomeBoyz vs Mbarara City — team news & stats 2026-11-06
Before and after this match
- Express, previous: Ntugasaze vs Express prediction
- Blacks Power, previous: Blacks Power vs NEC prediction