Updated

Persha Liga · Matchday 14

Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Prykarpattia

· Yunist Stadium, Volochysk

Alin prediction Ahrobiznes Volochysk to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 1 – 0

14% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Ahrobiznes VolochyskDrawPrykarpattia
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.59 vs 0.77.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Prykarpattia preview

In the match between Ahrobiznes Volochysk and Prykarpattia, the 1X2 probabilities show Ahrobiznes Volochysk at 56%, with the most likely scoreline being 1-0 at 14%. Ahrobiznes has a stronger recent form with 4 wins in their last 5 matches, while Prykarpattia has 2 wins in their last 5.

However, the model indicates a 41% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance for both teams to score. This means if Prykarpattia can improve their scoring, the match could see more goals than expected. The confidence grade is C, suggesting uncertainty in the outcome.

Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Prykarpattia: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceAhrobiznes VolochyskDrawPrykarpattia
Model56%27%17%
Market———
Published56%27%17%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.59 vs 0.77.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Ahrobiznes Volochysk and Prykarpattia expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.59Ahrobiznes Volochysk
0.77Prykarpattia
Total expected goals
2.36
Attack rating (Ahrobiznes Volochysk / Prykarpattia)
1.21 / 0.83
Defence rating (Ahrobiznes Volochysk / Prykarpattia)
0.86 / 1.01

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Prykarpattia score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 10.6% 6.1% 2.8% 0.7% 0.2% 1 13.9% 12.7% 4.4% 1.1% 0.3% 2 11.9% 9.2% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 3 6.3% 4.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 4+ 3.6% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%

Rows: Ahrobiznes Volochysk goals. Columns: Prykarpattia goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Prykarpattia goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 89%
Over 1.5 69%
Over 2.5 42%
Over 3.5 21%
Both teams to score
44%
No goals (0–0)
11%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Prykarpattia

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Ahrobiznes Volochysk56%1.79
Draw27%3.65
Prykarpattia17%5.93
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.542%2.39
Under 2.558%1.72
Both teams to scoreYes44%2.28
No56%1.78
Double chance1X (Ahrobiznes Volochysk or draw)83%1.20
12 (either side)73%1.38
X2 (draw or Prykarpattia)44%2.26
Handicap -1Ahrobiznes Volochysk win by 2+31%3.27
Push (exactly one goal)25%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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Ahrobiznes Volochysk and Prykarpattia recent form

Ahrobiznes Volochysk 4W 1D 1L
Prykarpattia 1W 2D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Ahrobiznes Volochysk at home

Record (W-D-L)
5-1-1
Win rate
71%
Goals for / match
1.86
Goals against / match
0.71
Clean sheets
5 of 7
  • They have won 7 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 12 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
  • 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Prykarpattia away

Record (W-D-L)
2-0-4
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
1.83
Clean sheets
0 of 6
  • They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
  • 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Ahrobiznes Volochysk at home only, Prykarpattia away only.

Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Prykarpattia head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1 · draws 1 · Prykarpattia 0.

Ahrobiznes VolochyskDrawsPrykarpattia
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-05-23Prykarpattia1-1Ahrobiznes VolochyskPersha Liga
2025-11-03Ahrobiznes Volochysk3-1PrykarpattiaPersha Liga

Other Matchday 14 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Ahrobiznes Volochysk to win Predicted score 1 – 0 C Bet on Ahrobiznes Volochysk