Updated

Ukraine Premier League · Matchday 9

Kudrivka vs Bukovyna

· Avangard, Rivne

Alin prediction Bukovyna to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 0 – 2

11% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
KudrivkaDrawBukovyna

Kudrivka vs Bukovyna preview

In the upcoming match between Kudrivka and Bukovyna, the 1X2 probabilities show Bukovyna at 67% to win, compared to Kudrivka's 12%. The most likely scoreline is 0-2, with Bukovyna expected to score 2.08 goals while Kudrivka is projected to net just 0.78.

There is a 54% chance of Over 2.5 goals, indicating a potential for a high-scoring affair, while both teams to score has a 48% likelihood. Kudrivka's recent form shows four consecutive losses, while Bukovyna has a mixed record with one win in their last six matches. The confidence grade for this prediction is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the outcome.

Kudrivka vs Bukovyna: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceKudrivkaDrawBukovyna
Model14%22%65%
Market———
Published14%22%65%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.10 vs 0.87.
  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Kudrivka and Bukovyna expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.87Kudrivka
2.10Bukovyna
Total expected goals
2.97
Attack rating (Kudrivka / Bukovyna)
0.80 / 1.13
Defence rating (Kudrivka / Bukovyna)
1.52 / 0.83

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Kudrivka vs Bukovyna score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 6.1% 9.8% 11.3% 7.9% 6.7% 1 3.5% 10.3% 9.8% 6.9% 5.9% 2 1.9% 4.1% 4.3% 3.0% 2.6% 3 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 0.9% 0.7% 4+ 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2%

Rows: Kudrivka goals. Columns: Bukovyna goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Kudrivka vs Bukovyna goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 94%
Over 1.5 81%
Over 2.5 57%
Over 3.5 35%
Both teams to score
52%
No goals (0–0)
6%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Kudrivka vs Bukovyna

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Kudrivka14%7.37
Draw22%4.62
Bukovyna65%1.54
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.557%1.76
Under 2.543%2.32
Both teams to scoreYes52%1.93
No48%2.08
Double chance1X (Kudrivka or draw)35%2.84
12 (either side)78%1.28
X2 (draw or Bukovyna)86%1.16
Handicap -1Bukovyna win by 2+42%2.40
Push (exactly one goal)23%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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Kudrivka and Bukovyna recent form

Kudrivka 0W 1D 5L
Bukovyna 1W 3D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Kudrivka at home

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-2
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.67
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
1 of 3
  • They have won 0 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.

Bukovyna away

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-2
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.00
Goals against / match
1.67
Clean sheets
1 of 3
  • They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Kudrivka at home only, Bukovyna away only.

Kudrivka vs Bukovyna head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Kudrivka 1 · draws 0 · Bukovyna 1.

KudrivkaDrawsBukovyna
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2025-05-03Kudrivka2-0BukovynaPersha Liga
2025-04-06Bukovyna1-0KudrivkaPersha Liga

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Bukovyna to win Predicted score 0 – 2 C Bet on Bukovyna