FC Kharkiv vs Livyi Bereh preview
In the upcoming match between FC Kharkiv and Livyi Bereh, the 1X2 probabilities show FC Kharkiv at 42%, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0 at 15%. FC Kharkiv has a recent form of W-W-W-W-L-L, while Livyi Bereh's recent form is L-W-W-D-D-D.
The model suggests a 31% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 39% chance for both teams to score. FC Kharkiv has expected goals of 1.14, while Livyi Bereh sits at 0.79. A potential factor that could affect the outcome is the confidence grade of C, indicating uncertainty in the predictions.
FC Kharkiv vs Livyi Bereh: model vs market
| Source | FC Kharkiv | Draw | Livyi Bereh |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42% | 33% | 24% |
| Market | 65% | 22% | 13% |
| Published | 60% | 25% | 16% |
| Edge | -23% | +12% | +11% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.14 vs 0.79.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.48, recorded — the top price across the 2 books we record, each at its own last update.
FC Kharkiv vs Livyi Bereh odds movement
Median bookmaker price on FC Kharkiv, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-13.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Kharkiv | 1.48 | 1.44 | -0.04 |
| Draw | 4.10 | 4.31 | +0.21 |
| Livyi Bereh | 6.20 | 7.30 | +1.10 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
FC Kharkiv and Livyi Bereh expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.93
- Attack rating (FC Kharkiv / Livyi Bereh)
- 1.35 / 0.97
- Defence rating (FC Kharkiv / Livyi Bereh)
- 0.67 / 0.65
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FC Kharkiv vs Livyi Bereh score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FC Kharkiv goals. Columns: Livyi Bereh goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FC Kharkiv vs Livyi Bereh goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 39%
- No goals (0–0)
- 16%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FC Kharkiv vs Livyi Bereh
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Kharkiv | 60% | 1.68 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.04 | |
| Livyi Bereh | 16% | 6.36 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31% | 3.28 |
| Under 2.5 | 69% | 1.44 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39% | 2.59 |
| No | 61% | 1.63 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FC Kharkiv or draw) | 84% | 1.19 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Livyi Bereh) | 40% | 2.47 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Kharkiv win by 2+ | 19% | 5.39 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
FC Kharkiv and Livyi Bereh recent form
FC Kharkiv
4W 0D 2L
Livyi Bereh
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FC Kharkiv at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.25
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Livyi Bereh away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-0
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.33
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: FC Kharkiv at home only, Livyi Bereh away only.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Obolon'-Brovar vs Veres Rivne 2026-10-16
- Zorya Luhansk vs Chornomorets 2026-10-17
- Kudrivka vs Bukovyna 2026-10-17
- Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kolos Kovalivka — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Kryvbas KR v LNZ Cherkasy — match page 2026-10-18
- Polessya vs Dynamo Kyiv — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Karpaty v Epitsentr Dunayivtsi — match page 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- FC Kharkiv, previous: Chornomorets – FC Kharkiv, 2026-10-10
- Livyi Bereh, previous: Livyi Bereh vs Zorya Luhansk: odds and pick