Kryvbas KR vs LNZ Cherkasy preview
Kryvbas KR faces LNZ Cherkasy with a 24% chance of winning compared to LNZ's 50%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which reflects LNZ Cherkasy's stronger recent form, winning 3 of their last 5 matches. Kryvbas KR has struggled, managing only 1 win in their last 5 games.
The expected goals are close, with Kryvbas KR at 1.18 and LNZ Cherkasy at 1.15, suggesting a competitive match. However, the probabilities for Over 2.5 goals sit at 41% and both teams to score at 49%. This indicates that while LNZ Cherkasy may have the upper hand, the match could still be tight and low-scoring.
Kryvbas KR vs LNZ Cherkasy: model vs market
| Source | Kryvbas KR | Draw | LNZ Cherkasy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35% | 31% | 34% |
| Market | 20% | 25% | 55% |
| Published | 23% | 26% | 50% |
| Edge | +16% | +6% | -22% |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.69, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update.
Kryvbas KR vs LNZ Cherkasy odds movement
Median bookmaker price on LNZ Cherkasy, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-13.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kryvbas KR | 4.70 | 4.75 | +0.05 |
| Draw | 3.70 | 3.70 | +0.00 |
| LNZ Cherkasy | 1.67 | 1.67 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Kryvbas KR and LNZ Cherkasy expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.33
- Attack rating (Kryvbas KR / LNZ Cherkasy)
- 1.17 / 0.74
- Defence rating (Kryvbas KR / LNZ Cherkasy)
- 1.27 / 0.78
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Kryvbas KR vs LNZ Cherkasy score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Kryvbas KR goals. Columns: LNZ Cherkasy goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Kryvbas KR vs LNZ Cherkasy goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 49%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Kryvbas KR vs LNZ Cherkasy
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kryvbas KR | 23% | 4.26 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.78 | |
| LNZ Cherkasy | 50% | 2.00 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41% | 2.43 |
| Under 2.5 | 59% | 1.70 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49% | 2.06 |
| No | 51% | 1.95 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Kryvbas KR or draw) | 50% | 2.00 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or LNZ Cherkasy) | 77% | 1.31 | |
| Handicap -1 | LNZ Cherkasy win by 2+ | 14% | 6.95 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Kryvbas KR and LNZ Cherkasy recent form
Kryvbas KR
1W 2D 3L
LNZ Cherkasy
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Kryvbas KR at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 2.33
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
LNZ Cherkasy away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 7 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Kryvbas KR at home only, LNZ Cherkasy away only.
Kryvbas KR vs LNZ Cherkasy head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Kryvbas KR 0 · draws 1 · LNZ Cherkasy 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Kryvbas KR | 0-3 | LNZ Cherkasy | Ukraine Premier League |
| 2025-09-28 | LNZ Cherkasy | 0-0 | Kryvbas KR | Ukraine Premier League |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Obolon'-Brovar vs Veres Rivne 2026-10-16
- Zorya Luhansk vs Chornomorets 2026-10-17
- Kudrivka vs Bukovyna 2026-10-17
- Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kolos Kovalivka — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Polessya vs Dynamo Kyiv — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Karpaty v Epitsentr Dunayivtsi — match page 2026-10-18
- FC Kharkiv vs Livyi Bereh — team news & stats 2026-10-19
Before and after this match
- Kryvbas KR, previous: Obolon'-Brovar vs Kryvbas KR: odds and pick
- LNZ Cherkasy, previous: LNZ Cherkasy v Kudrivka analysis