San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids preview
In the match between San Jose Earthquakes and Colorado Rapids, the 1X2 probabilities show San Jose at 46%, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0 at 11%. Colorado Rapids have a lower probability of winning at 25%, which suggests a tight contest.
Both teams to score stands at 50%, indicating a fair chance for each side to find the net. However, the expected goals reveal a significant difference, with San Jose at 1.45 and Colorado at 1.02. The recent form also favors San Jose, who have drawn three of their last five matches, while Colorado has struggled, with four draws and two losses.
San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids: model vs market
| Source | San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46% | 29% | 25% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 46% | 29% | 25% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.45 vs 1.02.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
San Jose Earthquakes and Colorado Rapids expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.48
- Attack rating (San Jose Earthquakes / Colorado Rapids)
- 0.88 / 0.77
- Defence rating (San Jose Earthquakes / Colorado Rapids)
- 0.97 / 0.95
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: San Jose Earthquakes goals. Columns: Colorado Rapids goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 50%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | San Jose Earthquakes | 46% | 2.19 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.46 | |
| Colorado Rapids | 25% | 3.94 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45% | 2.22 |
| Under 2.5 | 55% | 1.82 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50% | 1.98 |
| No | 50% | 2.02 | |
| Double chance | 1X (San Jose Earthquakes or draw) | 75% | 1.34 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or Colorado Rapids) | 54% | 1.84 | |
| Handicap -1 | San Jose Earthquakes win by 2+ | 23% | 4.32 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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San Jose Earthquakes and Colorado Rapids recent form
San Jose Earthquakes
2W 4D 0L
Colorado Rapids
0W 4D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
San Jose Earthquakes at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-4-5
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.73
- Goals against / match
- 1.53
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 15
- They have won 13 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 7 penalties (57%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Colorado Rapids away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-10
- Win rate
- 13%
- Goals for / match
- 0.87
- Goals against / match
- 1.73
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 15
- They have won 11 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
League matches this season before kick-off: San Jose Earthquakes at home only, Colorado Rapids away only.
San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: San Jose Earthquakes 4 · draws 2 · Colorado Rapids 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Colorado Rapids | 1-1 | San Jose Earthquakes | Major League Soccer |
| 2026-05-21 | Colorado Rapids | 2-0 | San Jose Earthquakes | US Open Cup |
| 2025-05-11 | Colorado Rapids | 0-2 | San Jose Earthquakes | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-03-16 | San Jose Earthquakes | 1-2 | Colorado Rapids | Major League Soccer |
| 2024-05-12 | Colorado Rapids | 2-3 | San Jose Earthquakes | Major League Soccer |
| 2024-04-14 | San Jose Earthquakes | 0-3 | Colorado Rapids | Major League Soccer |
| 2023-06-04 | Colorado Rapids | 0-0 | San Jose Earthquakes | Major League Soccer |
| 2023-03-12 | San Jose Earthquakes | 1-0 | Colorado Rapids | Major League Soccer |
| 2022-09-15 | Colorado Rapids | 2-1 | San Jose Earthquakes | Major League Soccer |
| 2022-05-08 | San Jose Earthquakes | 1-0 | Colorado Rapids | Major League Soccer |
Other Matchday 32 fixtures
- FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew 2026-10-29
- Chicago Fire v Orlando City SC — match page 2026-10-29
- Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City — team news & stats 2026-10-29
- Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union 2026-10-29
- Austin v Real Salt Lake — match page 2026-10-29
- St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers — team news & stats 2026-10-29
- Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo 2026-10-29
- Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego — team news & stats 2026-10-29
Before and after this match
- San Jose Earthquakes, previous: FC Dallas – San Jose Earthquakes, 2026-10-25
- Colorado Rapids, previous: Colorado Rapids vs Vancouver Whitecaps prediction