Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo preview
In the fixture between Seattle Sounders and Houston Dynamo, the 1X2 probabilities show Seattle Sounders at 51%, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0 at 11%. The expected goals indicate Seattle Sounders at 1.60 and Houston Dynamo at 0.97, suggesting a stronger attacking performance from Seattle.
However, the match could deviate from this prediction. Both teams to score stands at 51%, indicating a reasonable chance that Houston could find the net. Additionally, Seattle's recent form shows 4 wins in their last 6 matches, while Houston has struggled, with only 1 win in their last 6 games. This context could impact the final outcome.
Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo: model vs market
| Source | Seattle Sounders | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51% | 27% | 22% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 51% | 27% | 22% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.60 vs 0.97.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Seattle Sounders and Houston Dynamo expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.57
- Attack rating (Seattle Sounders / Houston Dynamo)
- 1.01 / 0.95
- Defence rating (Seattle Sounders / Houston Dynamo)
- 0.75 / 0.91
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Seattle Sounders goals. Columns: Houston Dynamo goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 51%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Seattle Sounders | 51% | 1.97 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.65 | |
| Houston Dynamo | 22% | 4.58 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48% | 2.10 |
| Under 2.5 | 52% | 1.91 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51% | 1.97 |
| No | 49% | 2.04 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Seattle Sounders or draw) | 78% | 1.28 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or Houston Dynamo) | 49% | 2.03 | |
| Handicap -1 | Seattle Sounders win by 2+ | 27% | 3.64 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Seattle Sounders and Houston Dynamo recent form
Seattle Sounders
4W 1D 1L
Houston Dynamo
0W 4D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Seattle Sounders at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-4-4
- Win rate
- 47%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 15
- They have won 11 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Houston Dynamo away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-4-6
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.47
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 15
- They have won 13 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Seattle Sounders at home only, Houston Dynamo away only.
Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Seattle Sounders 2 · draws 1 · Houston Dynamo 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Houston Dynamo | 0-1 | Seattle Sounders | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-05-11 | Houston Dynamo | 1-3 | Seattle Sounders | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-03-23 | Seattle Sounders | 0-0 | Houston Dynamo | Major League Soccer |
Other Matchday 32 fixtures
- FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew 2026-10-29
- Chicago Fire v Orlando City SC — match page 2026-10-29
- Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City — team news & stats 2026-10-29
- Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union 2026-10-29
- Austin v Real Salt Lake — match page 2026-10-29
- St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers — team news & stats 2026-10-29
- San Jose Earthquakes v Colorado Rapids — match page 2026-10-29
- Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego — team news & stats 2026-10-29
Before and after this match
- Seattle Sounders, previous: San Diego vs Seattle Sounders: odds and pick
- Houston Dynamo, previous: Houston Dynamo v Minnesota United FC analysis