FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew preview
In the match between FC Dallas and Columbus Crew, the 1X2 probabilities show FC Dallas at 40%, Columbus Crew at 33%, and a draw at 27%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which has a 9% chance of occurring. The model also suggests a 55% probability for Over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
FC Dallas has an expected goals figure of 1.52, while Columbus Crew sits at 1.37. Recent form indicates FC Dallas with a record of D-W-L-W-D-W and Columbus Crew at D-W-W-L-W-W. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions. Factors like unexpected defensive errors or changes in player availability could influence the outcome.
FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew: model vs market
| Source | FC Dallas | Draw | Columbus Crew |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40% | 27% | 33% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 40% | 27% | 33% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
FC Dallas and Columbus Crew expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.89
- Attack rating (FC Dallas / Columbus Crew)
- 1.08 / 0.99
- Defence rating (FC Dallas / Columbus Crew)
- 1.00 / 0.81
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FC Dallas goals. Columns: Columbus Crew goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 59%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Dallas | 40% | 2.51 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.70 | |
| Columbus Crew | 33% | 3.02 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55% | 1.81 |
| Under 2.5 | 45% | 2.23 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59% | 1.68 |
| No | 41% | 2.47 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FC Dallas or draw) | 67% | 1.50 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or Columbus Crew) | 60% | 1.66 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Dallas win by 2+ | 20% | 4.98 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
FC Dallas and Columbus Crew recent form
FC Dallas
3W 2D 1L
Columbus Crew
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FC Dallas at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-5-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.86
- Goals against / match
- 1.43
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 14
- They have won 14 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Columbus Crew away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-3-9
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 15
- They have won 10 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 30 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
League matches this season before kick-off: FC Dallas at home only, Columbus Crew away only.
Other Matchday 32 fixtures
- Toronto FC v DC United — match page 2026-10-28
- New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC — team news & stats 2026-10-28
- New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls 2026-10-28
- Chicago Fire v Orlando City SC — match page 2026-10-29
- Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City — team news & stats 2026-10-29
- Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union 2026-10-29
- Austin v Real Salt Lake — match page 2026-10-29
- St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers — team news & stats 2026-10-29
Before and after this match
- FC Dallas, previous: FC Dallas – San Jose Earthquakes, 2026-10-25
- Columbus Crew, previous: Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC: odds and pick