Charleston Battery vs Rhode Island preview
In the USL Championship fixture between Charleston Battery and Rhode Island, the 1X2 probabilities show Charleston Battery at 50%, draw at 30%, and Rhode Island at 20%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a probability of 15%.
Charleston Battery has an expected goals figure of 1.38, while Rhode Island sits at 0.77. Both teams to score is at 42%, indicating a possibility of a low-scoring match. However, if Rhode Island improves their recent form, which includes 3 wins in their last 6 matches, it could lead to a different outcome. Additionally, the confidence grade is C, suggesting uncertainty in the predictions.
Charleston Battery vs Rhode Island: model vs market
| Source | Charleston Battery | Draw | Rhode Island |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50% | 30% | 20% |
| Market | 46% | 27% | 27% |
| Published | 47% | 28% | 25% |
| Edge | +1% | +1% | -2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.38 vs 0.77.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.02, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.9% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Charleston Battery and Rhode Island expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.16
- Attack rating (Charleston Battery / Rhode Island)
- 1.13 / 0.88
- Defence rating (Charleston Battery / Rhode Island)
- 0.74 / 0.83
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Charleston Battery vs Rhode Island score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Charleston Battery goals. Columns: Rhode Island goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Charleston Battery vs Rhode Island goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 42%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Charleston Battery vs Rhode Island
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Charleston Battery | 47% | 2.12 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.63 | |
| Rhode Island | 25% | 3.94 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37% | 2.74 |
| Under 2.5 | 63% | 1.58 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42% | 2.41 |
| No | 58% | 1.71 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Charleston Battery or draw) | 75% | 1.34 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or Rhode Island) | 53% | 1.89 | |
| Handicap -1 | Charleston Battery win by 2+ | 25% | 3.97 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Charleston Battery and Rhode Island recent form
Charleston Battery
4W 1D 1L
Rhode Island
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Charleston Battery at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 11-2-2
- Win rate
- 73%
- Goals for / match
- 2.47
- Goals against / match
- 0.73
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 15
- They have won 15 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.6 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Rhode Island away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-0-10
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.27
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 15
- They have won 12 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 29 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Charleston Battery at home only, Rhode Island away only.
Charleston Battery vs Rhode Island head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Charleston Battery 2 · draws 3 · Rhode Island 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Charleston Battery | 2-0 | Rhode Island | USL Championship |
| 2026-04-22 | Rhode Island | 4-0 | Charleston Battery | USL Championship |
| 2025-11-02 | Charleston Battery | 0-0 | Rhode Island | USL Championship |
| 2025-08-30 | Rhode Island | 1-0 | Charleston Battery | USL Championship |
| 2025-03-15 | Charleston Battery | 2-0 | Rhode Island | USL Championship |
| 2024-11-17 | Charleston Battery | 1-2 | Rhode Island | USL Championship |
| 2024-10-19 | Charleston Battery | 1-1 | Rhode Island | USL Championship |
| 2024-04-06 | Rhode Island | 0-0 | Charleston Battery | USL Championship |
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Before and after this match
- Charleston Battery, previous: Charleston Battery – Indy Eleven, 2026-10-24
- Rhode Island, previous: Hartford Athletic v Rhode Island analysis