El Paso Locomotive vs San Antonio preview
In the upcoming match between El Paso Locomotive and San Antonio, the 1X2 probabilities show El Paso at 42%, a draw at 36%, and San Antonio at 22%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with an 18% chance. El Paso's expected goals stand at 1.01, while San Antonio's is lower at 0.65, suggesting a tight contest.
However, the match could deviate from this forecast. Both teams to score is at 32%, indicating a possibility that one team may not find the net. Additionally, El Paso's recent form includes two losses, which could impact their performance. San Antonio has a stronger head-to-head record, winning 3 of the last 4 encounters, which may influence the outcome.
El Paso Locomotive vs San Antonio: model vs market
| Source | El Paso Locomotive | Draw | San Antonio |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42% | 36% | 22% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 42% | 36% | 22% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.01 vs 0.65.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
El Paso Locomotive and San Antonio expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.66
- Attack rating (El Paso Locomotive / San Antonio)
- 1.03 / 0.67
- Defence rating (El Paso Locomotive / San Antonio)
- 0.82 / 0.65
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
El Paso Locomotive vs San Antonio score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: El Paso Locomotive goals. Columns: San Antonio goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
El Paso Locomotive vs San Antonio goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 32%
- No goals (0–0)
- 20%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for El Paso Locomotive vs San Antonio
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | El Paso Locomotive | 42% | 2.39 |
| Draw | 36% | 2.76 | |
| San Antonio | 22% | 4.56 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 23% | 4.32 |
| Under 2.5 | 77% | 1.30 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 32% | 3.16 |
| No | 68% | 1.46 | |
| Double chance | 1X (El Paso Locomotive or draw) | 78% | 1.28 |
| 12 (either side) | 64% | 1.57 | |
| X2 (draw or San Antonio) | 58% | 1.72 | |
| Handicap -1 | El Paso Locomotive win by 2+ | 17% | 5.92 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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El Paso Locomotive and San Antonio recent form
El Paso Locomotive
2W 1D 3L
San Antonio
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
El Paso Locomotive at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-3-5
- Win rate
- 47%
- Goals for / match
- 1.53
- Goals against / match
- 1.47
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 15
- They have won 15 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 8 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
San Antonio away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-7-4
- Win rate
- 27%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.13
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 15
- They have won 10 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 29 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: El Paso Locomotive at home only, San Antonio away only.
El Paso Locomotive vs San Antonio head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: El Paso Locomotive 1 · draws 0 · San Antonio 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | San Antonio | 0-3 | El Paso Locomotive | USL Championship |
| 2026-04-19 | El Paso Locomotive | 2-3 | San Antonio | USL Championship |
| 2025-10-26 | San Antonio | 5-2 | El Paso Locomotive | USL Championship |
| 2025-07-05 | El Paso Locomotive | 1-2 | San Antonio | USL Championship |
Other Round of 16 fixtures
- Louisville City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- Charleston Battery vs Rhode Island 2026-10-30
- Tampa Bay Rowdies v Miami FC — match page 2026-10-30
- Detroit City vs Hartford Athletic — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Lexington v Colorado Springs — match page 2026-11-01
- New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa 2026-11-02
Before and after this match
- El Paso Locomotive, previous: El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United: odds and pick
- San Antonio, previous: San Antonio vs Orange County SC prediction