Oakland Roots vs San Antonio: model vs market
| Source | Oakland Roots | Draw | San Antonio |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41% | 38% | 21% |
| Market | 37% | 27% | 36% |
| Published | 38% | 30% | 32% |
| Edge | +4% | +11% | -16% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 0.91 vs 0.57.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Oakland Roots below the model: +4.1 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.51, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.
Oakland Roots vs San Antonio odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Oakland Roots, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-05.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oakland Roots | 2.45 | 2.45 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.34 | 3.34 | +0.00 |
| San Antonio | 2.56 | 2.50 | -0.06 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Oakland Roots and San Antonio expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.48
- Attack rating (Oakland Roots / San Antonio)
- 0.81 / 0.58
- Defence rating (Oakland Roots / San Antonio)
- 0.83 / 0.76
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Oakland Roots vs San Antonio score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Oakland Roots goals. Columns: San Antonio goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Oakland Roots vs San Antonio goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 27%
- No goals (0–0)
- 24%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Oakland Roots vs San Antonio
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Oakland Roots | 38% | 2.64 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.34 | |
| San Antonio | 32% | 3.10 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 19% | 5.37 |
| Under 2.5 | 81% | 1.23 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 27% | 3.69 |
| No | 73% | 1.37 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Oakland Roots or draw) | 68% | 1.48 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.43 | |
| X2 (draw or San Antonio) | 62% | 1.61 | |
| Handicap -1 | Oakland Roots win by 2+ | 15% | 6.47 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 | 100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Oakland Roots and San Antonio recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Oakland Roots at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-5-5
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.21
- Goals against / match
- 1.29
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 14
- They have won 8 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 26 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
San Antonio away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-6-4
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.07
- Goals against / match
- 1.21
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 14
- They have won 9 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 26 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Oakland Roots at home only, San Antonio away only.
Oakland Roots vs San Antonio head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Oakland Roots 2 · draws 0 · San Antonio 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | San Antonio | 0-1 | Oakland Roots | USL Championship |
| 2025-05-11 | San Antonio | 1-2 | Oakland Roots | USL Championship |
| 2025-03-23 | Oakland Roots | 1-2 | San Antonio | USL Championship |
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