USL Championship · Group Stage

Oakland Roots vs San Antonio

· Laney College Football Stadium

Alin prediction Oakland Roots to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 1 – 0

20% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Oakland RootsDrawSan Antonio
Best market odds
Oakland Roots2.51 Draw3.58 San Antonio2.60
Bet on Oakland Roots

Oakland Roots vs San Antonio: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceOakland RootsDrawSan Antonio
Model41%38%21%
Market37%27%36%
Published38%30%32%
Edge+4%+11%-16%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 0.91 vs 0.57.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Oakland Roots below the model: +4.1 percentage points of edge.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.51, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.

Oakland Roots vs San Antonio odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Oakland Roots, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-05.

Opened 2.45Now 2.45 +0.00
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Oakland Roots2.452.45+0.00
Draw3.343.34+0.00
San Antonio2.562.50-0.06

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Oakland Roots and San Antonio expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.91Oakland Roots
0.57San Antonio
Total expected goals
1.48
Attack rating (Oakland Roots / San Antonio)
0.81 / 0.58
Defence rating (Oakland Roots / San Antonio)
0.83 / 0.76

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Oakland Roots vs San Antonio score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 23.9% 11.7% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 1 19.6% 13.0% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 2 9.5% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 3 2.9% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 4+ 0.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: Oakland Roots goals. Columns: San Antonio goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Oakland Roots vs San Antonio goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 76%
Over 1.5 45%
Over 2.5 19%
Over 3.5 6%
Both teams to score
27%
No goals (0–0)
24%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Oakland Roots vs San Antonio

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Oakland Roots38%2.64
Draw30%3.34
San Antonio32%3.10
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.519%5.37
Under 2.581%1.23
Both teams to scoreYes27%3.69
No73%1.37
Double chance1X (Oakland Roots or draw)68%1.48
12 (either side)70%1.43
X2 (draw or San Antonio)62%1.61
Handicap -1Oakland Roots win by 2+15%6.47
Push (exactly one goal)25%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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Oakland Roots and San Antonio recent form

Oakland Roots 3W 2D 1L
San Antonio 1W 3D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Oakland Roots at home

Record (W-D-L)
4-5-5
Win rate
29%
Goals for / match
1.21
Goals against / match
1.29
Clean sheets
2 of 14
  • They have won 8 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 26 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

San Antonio away

Record (W-D-L)
4-6-4
Win rate
29%
Goals for / match
1.07
Goals against / match
1.21
Clean sheets
4 of 14
  • They have won 9 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 26 matches.
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Oakland Roots at home only, San Antonio away only.

Oakland Roots vs San Antonio head-to-head

Last 3 meetings: Oakland Roots 2 · draws 0 · San Antonio 1.

Oakland RootsDrawsSan Antonio
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-08-23San Antonio0-1Oakland RootsUSL Championship
2025-05-11San Antonio1-2Oakland RootsUSL Championship
2025-03-23Oakland Roots1-2San AntonioUSL Championship

Other Group Stage fixtures

Prediction snapshot Oakland Roots to win Predicted score 1 – 0 C Bet on Oakland Roots