Chirundu Utd vs Green Eagles preview
Chirundu Utd faces Green Eagles with a 37% chance of winning for Chirundu Utd and a 23% chance for Green Eagles, while a draw sits at 40%. The most likely scoreline is 0-0, with a 25% probability. Both teams to score is at 27%, indicating a low expectation for goals.
Chirundu Utd's expected goals are 0.83, while Green Eagles have an even lower expected goals figure of 0.60. The recent form shows Chirundu Utd with two wins, a draw, and a loss, while Green Eagles have two wins, a draw, and two losses. This context suggests that while a low-scoring match is likely, any unexpected offensive performance could change the outcome.
Chirundu Utd vs Green Eagles: model vs market
| Source | Chirundu Utd | Draw | Green Eagles |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34% | 44% | 22% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 34% | 44% | 22% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Chirundu Utd and Green Eagles expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.17
- Attack rating (Chirundu Utd / Green Eagles)
- 0.96 / 1.02
- Defence rating (Chirundu Utd / Green Eagles)
- 0.68 / 0.66
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Chirundu Utd vs Green Eagles score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Chirundu Utd goals. Columns: Green Eagles goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Chirundu Utd vs Green Eagles goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 20%
- No goals (0–0)
- 32%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Chirundu Utd vs Green Eagles
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chirundu Utd | 34% | 2.96 |
| Draw | 44% | 2.25 | |
| Green Eagles | 22% | 4.58 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 11% | 8.78 |
| Under 2.5 | 89% | 1.13 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 20% | 4.97 |
| No | 80% | 1.25 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Chirundu Utd or draw) | 78% | 1.28 |
| 12 (either side) | 56% | 1.80 | |
| X2 (draw or Green Eagles) | 66% | 1.51 | |
| Handicap -1 | Chirundu Utd win by 2+ | 10% | 9.95 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Chirundu Utd and Green Eagles recent form
Chirundu Utd
2W 2D 1L
Green Eagles
3W 2D 1L
Last 5 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Chirundu Utd at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 3.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 1
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
Green Eagles away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-0
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 0.33
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Chirundu Utd at home only, Green Eagles away only.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Kabwe Warriors v Roan United — match page 2026-11-04
- Nkana vs Kansanshi Dynamos 2026-11-04
- Red Arrows v Nkwazi — match page 2026-11-04
- NAPSA Stars vs Power Dynamos — team news & stats 2026-11-05
- Konkola Blades vs Trident 2026-11-05
- Green Buffaloes v ZESCO United — match page 2026-11-05
- Nchanga Rangers vs Makeni All Stars — team news & stats 2026-11-05
- Mutondo Stars vs Mufulira Wanderers 2026-11-05
Before and after this match
- Chirundu Utd, previous: Red Arrows v Chirundu Utd analysis
- Green Eagles, previous: Green Eagles vs Kabwe Warriors: odds and pick