Kansanshi Dynamos vs NAPSA Stars Prediction & Betting Tips 31/10/2026

Kansanshi Dynamos vs NAPSA Stars preview

Kansanshi Dynamos face NAPSA Stars with a 34% chance to win, compared to NAPSA's 30%. The most likely scoreline is 0-0 at 19%. Both teams have struggled for goals recently, with Kansanshi Dynamos expected to score 0.90 and NAPSA Stars 0.82.

While the probability for Over 2.5 goals stands at 25%, the recent form shows Kansanshi Dynamos with 1 win in their last 6 matches, while NAPSA Stars have drawn their last 4 games. The confidence grade is C, indicating uncertainty in the outcome. If either team can find their scoring touch, it could change the dynamics of the match significantly.

Kansanshi Dynamos vs NAPSA Stars: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Kansanshi Dynamos	Draw	NAPSA Stars
Model	37%	37%	26%
Market	—	—	—
Published	37%	37%	26%
Edge	—	—	—

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Kansanshi Dynamos and NAPSA Stars expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.92Kansanshi Dynamos

0.74NAPSA Stars

Total expected goals: 1.66
Attack rating (Kansanshi Dynamos / NAPSA Stars): 0.93 / 0.85
Defence rating (Kansanshi Dynamos / NAPSA Stars): 1.24 / 0.90

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Kansanshi Dynamos vs NAPSA Stars score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 20.4% 12.8% 5.2% 1.3% 0.3% 1 16.2% 14.2% 4.8% 1.2% 0.3% 2 8.0% 5.9% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 3 2.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 4+ 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: Kansanshi Dynamos goals. Columns: NAPSA Stars goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Kansanshi Dynamos vs NAPSA Stars goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 80%

Over 1.5 51%

Over 2.5 23%

Over 3.5 9%

Both teams to score: 33%
No goals (0–0): 20%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Kansanshi Dynamos vs NAPSA Stars

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Kansanshi Dynamos	37%	2.73
	Draw	37%	2.71
	NAPSA Stars	26%	3.78
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	23%	4.32
	Under 2.5	77%	1.30
Both teams to score	Yes	33%	3.06
	No	67%	1.48
Double chance	1X (Kansanshi Dynamos or draw)	74%	1.36
	12 (either side)	63%	1.59
	X2 (draw or NAPSA Stars)	63%	1.58
Handicap -1	Kansanshi Dynamos win by 2+	14%	7.29
	Push (exactly one goal)	23%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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