Updated

Zambia Super League · Matchday 6

Trident vs Zanaco

Alin prediction Trident to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 2 – 0

11% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
TridentDrawZanaco
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.27 vs 0.92.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Trident vs Zanaco preview

In the Zambia Super League fixture between Trident and Zanaco, the 1X2 probabilities show Trident at 67%, with a predicted scoreline of 2-0 at 11%. Trident's expected goals stand at 2.27, while Zanaco's is significantly lower at 0.92.

However, the match could deviate from this forecast. Both teams to score is at 55%, indicating a chance that Zanaco may find the net, which could affect the overall outcome. Additionally, Trident's recent form includes a loss and a draw, suggesting inconsistency that could impact their performance against Zanaco, who have had mixed results as well.

Trident vs Zanaco: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceTridentDrawZanaco
Model67%20%13%
Market———
Published67%20%13%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.27 vs 0.92.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Trident and Zanaco expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.27Trident
0.92Zanaco
Total expected goals
3.18
Attack rating (Trident / Zanaco)
1.55 / 1.23
Defence rating (Trident / Zanaco)
1.06 / 1.34

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Trident vs Zanaco score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 5.0% 2.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 1 8.5% 9.5% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 2 10.7% 9.8% 4.5% 1.4% 0.4% 3 8.0% 7.4% 3.4% 1.0% 0.3% 4+ 7.8% 7.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%

Rows: Trident goals. Columns: Zanaco goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Trident vs Zanaco goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 95%
Over 1.5 84%
Over 2.5 62%
Over 3.5 39%
Both teams to score
55%
No goals (0–0)
5%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Trident vs Zanaco

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Trident67%1.49
Draw20%4.97
Zanaco13%7.75
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562%1.62
Under 2.538%2.61
Both teams to scoreYes55%1.83
No45%2.20
Double chance1X (Trident or draw)87%1.15
12 (either side)80%1.25
X2 (draw or Zanaco)33%3.03
Handicap -1Trident win by 2+45%2.24
Push (exactly one goal)22%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites
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Trident and Zanaco recent form

Trident 1W 1D 2L
Zanaco 2W 2D 2L

Last 4 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Trident at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
2.00
Goals against / match
0.67
Clean sheets
1 of 3

Zanaco away

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Win rate
100%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
0.00
Clean sheets
1 of 1

League matches this season before kick-off: Trident at home only, Zanaco away only.

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Trident to win Predicted score 2 – 0 C Bet on Trident