Updated

Zambia Super League · Matchday 6

Power Dynamos vs Nkana

Alin prediction Power Dynamos to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 1 – 0

16% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Power DynamosDrawNkana
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.19 vs 0.75.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Power Dynamos vs Nkana preview

In the Zambia Super League, Power Dynamos face Nkana with 43% chances for a Power Dynamos win, compared to 24% for Nkana. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which occurs 15% of the time according to our model. Power Dynamos has a slight edge in expected goals at 1.15, while Nkana sits at 0.80.

Both teams to score sits at 39%, indicating a moderate chance that both sides will find the net. However, Nkana's recent form shows they have won 4 of their last 6 matches, which could challenge Power Dynamos' performance despite their home advantage. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting uncertainty in the outcome.

Power Dynamos vs Nkana: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourcePower DynamosDrawNkana
Model45%33%22%
Market———
Published45%33%22%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.19 vs 0.75.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Power Dynamos and Nkana expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.19Power Dynamos
0.75Nkana
Total expected goals
1.93
Attack rating (Power Dynamos / Nkana)
1.13 / 1.23
Defence rating (Power Dynamos / Nkana)
0.86 / 0.96

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Power Dynamos vs Nkana score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 15.8% 9.5% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 1 15.9% 14.1% 4.8% 1.2% 0.3% 2 10.2% 7.6% 2.8% 0.7% 0.2% 3 4.0% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 4+ 1.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: Power Dynamos goals. Columns: Nkana goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Power Dynamos vs Nkana goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 84%
Over 1.5 59%
Over 2.5 30%
Over 3.5 13%
Both teams to score
38%
No goals (0–0)
16%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Power Dynamos vs Nkana

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Power Dynamos45%2.22
Draw33%3.03
Nkana22%4.57
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.530%3.28
Under 2.570%1.44
Both teams to scoreYes38%2.65
No62%1.61
Double chance1X (Power Dynamos or draw)78%1.28
12 (either side)67%1.49
X2 (draw or Nkana)55%1.82
Handicap -1Power Dynamos win by 2+20%4.90
Push (exactly one goal)25%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites
# Betting site Welcome offer Why it is here Visit
1 Mozzartbet 50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply.
  • M-PESA Paybill 290059
  • Daily Jackpot
  • Live betting
Get offer
2 Betwinner First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.
  • 1,000+ events every day
  • Live betting around the clock
  • 30+ markets on live events
Get offer
3 22Bet 100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply.
  • M-Pesa and Airtel Money deposits
  • Live in-play betting
  • Android and iOS app
Get offer
4 Melbet 200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.
  • 1,000+ events every day
  • 30+ markets on live events
  • 24/7 customer support
Get offer

Power Dynamos and Nkana recent form

Power Dynamos 2W 0D 4L
Nkana 3W 1D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Power Dynamos at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-0-0
Win rate
100%
Goals for / match
1.50
Goals against / match
0.50
Clean sheets
1 of 2

Nkana away

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
0.50
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
1 of 2

League matches this season before kick-off: Power Dynamos at home only, Nkana away only.

Power Dynamos vs Nkana head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Power Dynamos 1 · draws 1 · Nkana 0.

Power DynamosDrawsNkana
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-04-11Power Dynamos1-0NkanaZambia Super League
2025-11-08Nkana1-1Power DynamosZambia Super League

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Power Dynamos to win Predicted score 1 – 0 C Bet on Power Dynamos